The concept of 'seal-fishery conflict' is used when referring to the complex contradictions stemming from seals' impacts on fishing livelihoods, a pertinent social struggle between stakeholder groups of the Baltic Sea. Tensions are most remarkable between coastal fisheries and seal conservationists. As existing knowledge has been scattered and the conflict has become increasingly problematic, the RESOCO project compiled Nordic knowledge and best practices and built an interdisciplinary synthesis to set the stage for alternative solutions on how to effectively reconcile the seal-fishery conflict in the Baltic Sea. The report takes a pragmatic stand by turning the attention to approaches and instruments that have been suggested to be helpful or that have the potential to help mitigate the conflict. The report synthesizes knowledge and presents existing gaps and needs of further research.
Global climate change, which is largely attributed to human activity, is one of the foremost challenges of the 21st century. In recent times, there have been notable alterations in the Earth's climate, resulting in profound impacts on ecosystems and biodiversity. These alterations are caused by greenhouse gas, such as carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide. Greenhouse gas emissions are caused by practices such as deforestation, industrial operations, and the combustion of fossil fuels in vehicles, vessels, aircraft, and manufacturing facilities. The maritime and aviation industry is currently responsible for approximately 6% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Due to logistical and economic constraints, these industries are heavily reliant on liquid fuels, making direct electrification options unavailable for large parts of these sectors. As a result, these sectors are considered ‘hard to abate’. Understanding the future climate mitigation challenges associated with the maritime and aviation sectors is crucial in shaping effective policy measures, avoiding stranded assets, and preserving the chance to meet Paris Agreement-compatible emission reduction pathways.
This thesis identifies three main challenges and proposes modelling approaches to address them when modelling decarbonization pathways for the aviation and maritime sectors. From these challenges, research gaps have been identified that this PhD thesis aims to fill. Three models have been developed for the thesis: a maritime optimization model, a maritime demand model, and an aviation demand model. The modelling landscape and methodology vary across models, ranging from econometrics and data science to mathematical optimization.
To overcome the challenges and fill in the research gaps, three corresponding modelling approaches have been successfully applied:
1. Developing a holistic decarbonization modelling landscape. This includes life-cycle representations of technology costs and emissions, the upscaling of bottleneck technologies, the availability of sustainable biomass, and consideration of competing demand from other industries, as well as representations of policy levers such as carbon pricing or improvements to fuel efficiency.
2. Developing demand models that interpret the underlying scenario narrative consistently (SSP framework).
3. Improving the representation of technological learning for low-carbon technologies in energy system models.
The findings acquired by applying these three modelling approaches are valuable for energy modellers, climate scientists, and policymakers and offer unique insights into the inherent system dynamics associated with decarbonization of hard-to-abate sectors. Utilizing this modelling landscape reveals that current decarbonization efforts for hard-to-abate sectors are insufficient.
Maritime transportation is an essential pillar of modern societies, serving as the backbone of global trade. The shipping industry relies heavily on fossil fuels, significantly impacting the environment and contributing to climate change. The International Maritime Organization (IMO) has introduced a strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from international shipping and decarbonize the industry to combat this issue. This strategy aims to accomplish energy efficiency gains, transition to alternative fuels, and implement market-based measures.
Various energy efficiency indicators are in use to monitor the performance of ships, both from technical and operational perspectives. Building upon previous research that identified shortcomings in these indicators, this thesis investigates alternative methods of assessing the energy efficiency of ships. Emphasizing the importance of a benchmarking tool, the primary objective of this thesis is to contribute to the policy debate on reducing emissions in international shipping by developing a comprehensive carbon intensity indicator.
The thesis comprises four articles addressing various approaches to monitoring ship carbon emissions. The first article focuses on the influence of weather conditions on a ship’s energy efficiency, thereby contributing to the ongoing discussion on weather correction factors. Using model-based machine learning techniques, this article illustrates the diverse sea conditions encountered, their impact on energy efficiency, and the necessity of accounting for this diversity through multiple correction factors.
The second and third articles introduce and develop the concept of operational cycles for maritime transportation, drawing inspiration from the driving cycles employed in the automotive industry. The second article describes the process of generating operational cycles for the maritime sector as a novel concept. It validates this concept using real-world data obtained from a fleet of container ships. Building upon this foundation, the third article extends the concept by elaborating more comprehensive cycles that better represent real-world indicators.
The fourth article explores voluntary reporting frameworks in the shipping industry. It focuses on the Clean Cargo case and investigates the needs and interests of its members regarding this private initiative and related reporting framework. The discussion revolves around the role of these voluntary frameworks as complementary approaches to regulatory frameworks towards maritime decarbonization.
Based on the methodology developments and analysis through the thesis, the following key findings and recommendations are presented:
• The weather impact on ships’ fuel consumption prevents an accurate and real assessment of ships’ efficiency. Multiple weather correction factors for energy efficiency indicators introduce a novel approach.
• Inspired by the automotive industry, maritime operational cycles improve the assessment of technical and operational aspects of a ship’s energy efficiency. The cycles reduce the variability inherent to energy
efficiency indicators and are suitable as benchmarking tools.
• Although the IMO regulatory framework remains at the core of the maritime decarbonization strategy, regional regulatory frameworks and private initiatives have demonstrated their capacity to enhance industry
practices and facilitate regulatory developments.
This thesis contributes to enhancing carbon emissions monitoring in the maritime industry by introducing new methodologies and assessments. The resulting proposals are designed to enrich ongoing discussions within the IMO and complement the existing regulatory frameworks.
The sea ice in the Arctic has shrunk significantly in the last decades. Partly as a result, the transport pattern has changed with more traffic in remote areas. This change may increase the risk of accidents. The critical factors are harsh weather, ice conditions, remoteness and vulnerability. In this paper we look into the risks of accidents in the Atlantic Arctic based on previous ship accidents and the changes in maritime activity. The risk has to be assessed to ensure a proper level of response in emergency situations. As accidents are rare, there are limited statistics available for Arctic marine accidents. Therefore, in this study a mostly qualitative analysis and expert judgement is the basis for the risk assessments. Implications for the emergency preparedness system of the region are discussed. The consequences of incidents depend on the incident type, scale and location,
In 2021 DS Norden celebrated its 150 years anniversary. In this book Martin Jes Iversen is analyzing the history of the shipping company which is one of the oldest in Denmark. In the first 50 years after being founded in 1871, Norden was a pioneer firm in Danish shipping. This period was followed by five decades of financial stability and gradual stagnation. But in the early 1990s the firm started its journey to become one of the leading firms in the global dry-bulk market. As the world experienced technological, economical and political changes, Norden would also change. Some of these changes were incremental. Others were more abrupt. But they were never predictable.
This thesis presents the numerical study of combustion under marine engine like condi- tions. The thesis is divided into two main parts. In the first part, combustion is studied in a large two-stroke marine engine with conventional diesel fuel. In the second part, two different dual-fuel combustion modes of diesel-methane i.e. non-premixed combus- tion and premixed combustion are studied. All numerical models are validated with the experimental data.
First, in a simplified geometry of the marine engine, conjugate heat transfer (CHT) calculations are applied to simultaneously solve the in-cylinder gas phase dynamics and the temperature field within the liner of the engine. The effects of different initial tem- peratures across the liner and the effects of the amount of water vapor in the air on the sulfuric acid formation and condensation in a large two-stroke marine engine are studied. An initial temperature is calculated based on heat transfer modeling and it is observed that the sulfuric acid vapor formation is more sensitive to the variation of the water vapor amount than the sulfuric acid condensation. In the next step, the effects of the turbulence modelling on the simulation of the full cycle of the engine including scavenging process, combustion, and emission formation is studied in a real geometry of a large two-stroke marine research engine. The Unsteady Reynolds Averaged Navier- Stokes (URANS) and Large Eddy Simulation (LES) turbulence models are utilized for modeling of in-cylinder turbulent flow. The accuracy of the tangential velocity and swirl flow in the top of the cylinder where the fuel is injected is crucial to predict the air-fuel mixing correctly. It is found that URANS predicts a solid body rotation for the tangential velocity in this region. However, LES predicts a tangential velocity that is uniformly distributed in the radial direction that is consistent with experimental results. Furthermore, during the scavenging process, LES is able to predict the Burgers vortex upstream of the cylinder near the scavenging ports. Also, LES predicts a higher angu- lar momentum inside the cylinder in comparison with URANS. During the combustion process, the LES model shows a moderately better performance in capturing the experi- mental pressure and heat release rate profiles than URANS. However, the predicted gas temperature at the liner wall is approximately 45 % higher for URANS than LES during the expansion stroke, which is attributed to a higher predicted turbulent viscosity in the URANS case. A higher temperature of gas beside the liner wall may decrease the sulfuric acid formation and increase the heat transfer. The higher predicted swirl by LES than that in URANS leads to an earlier and stronger interaction between the flame and the spray, decreasing the oxidation of the emissions. The second cycle LES simula- tion shows that the solutions after the scavenging process are in-sensitive to the initial conditions and the main governing parameters are boundary conditions and injection characteristics.
Next, two different dual-fuel combustion modes of non-premixed combustion and premixed combustion are studied. The non-premixed combustion is simulated and val- idated with the experimental data of a large two-stroke marine research engine under low and high engine loads. Based on the results, further methane jets penetration in the low load case leads to better air-fuel mixing and a higher combustion intensity than that in the high load. Effects of the pilot diesel fuel injection timing on combustion and emission formation and the governing mechanisms are also investigated in detail. Results indicate that the intense combustion of the accumulated methane expands the methane flame towards the piston when the pilot injection timing is retarded. The NO formation is lower in the high load case due to the lower combustion intensity. Also, retarding the pilot injection timing decreases the NO formation. Furthermore, the effect of the direction of pilot diesel injection is investigated which shows a significant effect on the methane start of combustion and intensity as well as flame propagation direction which leads to different heat transfer trends from the combustion chamber walls.
Premixed combustion is analysed in a constant volume combustion chamber (CVCC) and validated with experimental data. Results show that by simulation of methane-air mixing, the numerical model is able to capture the ignition delay time (IDT) within a maximum relative difference of 7 % to the measurements. A higher relative difference of 38% is obtained when methane gas injection is omitted and the methane-air and temperature are assumed homogeneous. Therefore, it is concluded that the simulation of methane-air mixing process is crucial in this type of combustion due to the presence of inhomogeneities in both methane fuel and temperature distribution after mixing. Creating the idealized inhomogeneities for separately investigation of methane and tem- perature inhomogeneities shows that the inhomogeneity in the temperature has a more profound influence on the IDT than the inhomogeneity in the methane distribution. Furthermore, the effects of the number of pilot fuel nozzle holes on the auto-ignition are studied. The auto-ignition process in two cases with 4 nozzle holes is investigated and compared with the base case with 8 nozzle holes. Considering the same amount of pilot fuel, the injection rate is assumed to be double in one of the cases, while in the other case, the injection duration is doubled. Results show that a reduction of the nozzle hole numbers can improve the pilot diesel ignition in the case with 4 nozzle holes and double injection duration compared to the base case with 8 nozzle holes. However, combustion in the case with 4 nozzle holes and a double injection rate is incomplete due to flame impingement on the walls.
Traditionally, most ship hulls are optimized for ideal conditions, where the ships are sailing in calm water with full speed in full load. In the last decade, some ships have been designed for a range of draughts and speeds in calm water. However, there is still a large gap between the ideal conditions the ships are designed for and conditions (waves, wind, currents, hull roughness ets.) the ships will operate in. The target for the thesis is to develop accurate numerical models that can help ship designers narrow a part of this gap.
The main body of this thesis is three papers. The first papers compares the speed/power performance of full-scale CFD simulations, towing tank predictions, and high quality speed trial measurements from six sister vessels. Much research have been conducted comparing model- scale CFD with towing tank results. However, very few studies have compared full-scale CFD with speed trial measurements. The study includes both a ro-ro vessel and a general cargo vessel. The present study finds that including the hull and propeller roughness directly into the CFD simulations by modifying the wall-functions provides more accurate results than the traditional approach of estimating the effect of roughness using an empirical formula.
Today, most ships are designed for sailing in calm water. However, very few ships sail entirely in calm water. Before numerical simulations can be used to predict added resistance in waves and seakeeping responses, a systematic verification and validation is required to ensure the accuracy. The second paper presents such a systematic verification and validation for the KCS container ship in oblique waves. Five wave headings and six wavelengths are studied. The estimated spatial and temporal discretization errors are found by an extensive verification study to be less than 5 %. Results from the verified CFD model are compared with existing potential flow and CFD results from the literature, as well as up to three experimental data sets. The comparison shows that the present CFD results in general show significantly better agreement with the experiments than previously published CFD results.
This CFD set-up is used in the third paper to study how sailing in oblique regular waves influences the nominal wake field of the KCS ship. Five different headings are studied and the waves have a steepness of 1/60 and a wave length equal to the ship length. The present study finds that the studied incident waves make the nominal wake field highly transient. Especially the transient bilge vortex and shadow from the skeg have a significant influence on the nominal wake field. The results show that the nominal wake fraction fluctuates up to 39 % of the mean nominal wake fraction for the studied waves. The mean nominal wake fraction is higher than in calm water for all headings besides head sea waves. It is found that the stern quartering sea waves has the maximum mean nominal wake fraction, with a 16 % higher mean nominal wake fraction than in calm water. Finally the study finds that the modified advance angle on the r/R = 0.7 circle in the propeller plane varies 3.5 degrees more in stern quartering than in calm water. This increases the risk of cavitation leading to potential vibrations and loss of propulsive efficiency.
The three papers show that CFD simulations can deliver highly accuracy results, when the CFD simulations are set-up very carefully and systematic verification and validation are conducted. The results from the three papers shows that numerical simulations have a massive potential as useful tools when designing ships for the conditions, the ship will operate in.
Floating Power Plant is, together with several partners, preparing to design, build and test a scaled version of the complete so-called P80 device. The scaled model is to be tested in AAU's wave basin, SSPA's facilities, followed by at least one external facility. The model will be tested in combinations of wave, wind and current conditions with a view to validating the numerical models and to further develop the understanding of the interactions within the device. The purpose of this document is to gather information that is relevant to designing and building the physically scaled model, and to designing and executing the test campaign.
The ongoing shift toward a circular economy, in which end-of-life (EOL) products are reused, remanufactured, or recycled, has major implications for seaports, especially seaports in metropolitan areas, as in such areas, huge amounts of EOL products are available. Ports are therefore relevant locations for circular economy activities. This chapter identifies the main commodities in volume terms and the set of associated activities and assesses resulting opportunities and threats for ports. Case studies of Dutch ports are used to illustrate this analysis.
The oceans are increasingly understood as a security space. Does the new maritime security agenda lead to new spatial configurations? This chapter introduces the concept of ‘pragmatic spaces’ to explore spatial configurations produced in responses to maritime security. Four exemplary spaces are discussed: how counter-piracy led to the development of high risk areas, how maritime security capacity building produced new regions constructed through codes of conduct, how the identification of smuggling routes established new forms of international partnerships, and how maritime domain awareness systems advance new transnational spaces of surveillance. These new spatial configurations were introduced to manage maritime security issues and enable transnational forms of governance.