Adopting green vehicles in the transport sector is a highly effective policy for mitigating the sector’s carbon footprint. Moreover, the EU transport policy acknowledges the pivotal role of inland waterways (IWW) in decarbonizing Europe, with a strategic objective to enhance its modal share through the transition from road to IWW. This paper investigates the potential of electric autonomous Roll-on Roll-off (RoRo) ships to enhance the competitive edge of IWW as compared to road transport. This paper examines the impact of this innovative transport system on sustainability by analyzing Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) across economic and environmental dimensions using a comparative case study approach and quantitative analysis data. The main result is that implementing electric autonomous RoRo ships can lead to a 45 % reduction in OPEX (operational expenditure), with profitability expected after about 3.5 years. Emissions decrease by more than 60 %, and by 2030, CO2 emissions in the Well-to-Wake (WTW) cycle are projected to reduce by approximately 77,000 tonnes, aligning with EU transport and environmental policies.
Operational cycles for maritime transportation is a new concept to improve the assessment of ships’ energy efficiency and offer benchmarking options among similar ship types and sizes. This work extends previous research to consolidate the methodology, bring more comprehensiveness, and provide a more holistic assessment of these operational cycles. The cycles are designed from noon reports from a fleet of around 300 container ships divided into eight size groups. The comparison between cycles derived from speed and draft with those based on main engine power identifies that the cycles based on speed and draft are more accurate and allow for estimating the Energy Efficiency Operational Index but require more data. The main-engine-power cycles are more effective in benchmarking through the Annual Efficiency Ratio. These cycles reduce the inherent variability of the carbon intensity indicator and present good opportunities as a benchmarking tool for strengthening the regulatory framework of international shipping.
Since the outbreak of COVID-19, its impacts on the maritime transportation and logistics field have been multi-dimensional. In addition to the green shipping corridor proposed by the Clydebank Declaration in the United Kingdom in 2021, port digitalisation and decarbonisation of the maritime industry have become focal issues in the field. The industry needs a new framework to offset the negative impacts of the pandemic and to accommodate integrated technologies comprising of artificial intelligence (AI), blockchain, cloud systems, internet of things (IoT) and others, which have been applied to the industry. Having considered these circumstances, this paper aims to propose the 6th-generation ports model with smart port (6GP) as a new framework for the port logistics industry in the post-COVID-19 period. The proposed 6GP contributes to providing business development strategy and port development policy for stakeholders in the industry in the post-pandemic era reflecting focal challenges such as digitalisation, decarbonisation, sustainability and smart transformation. It also contributes to expanding port devolution theory from the fifth-generation ports (5GP) to 6GP.
The climate emergency has prompted rapid and intensive research into sustainable, reliable, and affordable energy alternatives. Offshore wind has developed and exceeded all expectations over the last 2 decades and is now a central pillar of the UK and other international strategies to decarbonise energy systems. As the dependence on variable renewable energy resources increases, so does the importance of the necessity to develop energy storage and nonelectric energy vectors to ensure a resilient whole-energy system, also enabling difficult-to-decarbonise applications, e.g. heavy industry, heat, and certain areas of transport. Offshore wind and marine renewables have enormous potential that can never be completely utilised by the electricity system, and so green hydrogen has become a topic of increasing interest. Although numerous offshore and marine technologies are possible, the most appropriate combinations of power generation, materials and supporting structures, electrolysers, and support infrastructure and equipment depend on a wide range of factors, including the potential to maximise the use of local resources. This paper presents a critical review of contemporary offshore engineering tools and methodologies developed over many years for upstream oil and gas (O&G), maritime, and more recently offshore wind and renewable energy applications and examines how these along with recent developments in modelling and digitalisation might provide a platform to optimise green hydrogen offshore infrastructure. The key drivers and characteristics of future offshore green hydrogen systems are considered, and a SWOT (strength, weakness, opportunity, and threat) analysis is provided to aid the discussion of the challenges and opportunities for the offshore green hydrogen production sector.
Global climate change, which is largely attributed to human activity, is one of the foremost challenges of the 21st century. In recent times, there have been notable alterations in the Earth's climate, resulting in profound impacts on ecosystems and biodiversity. These alterations are caused by greenhouse gas, such as carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide. Greenhouse gas emissions are caused by practices such as deforestation, industrial operations, and the combustion of fossil fuels in vehicles, vessels, aircraft, and manufacturing facilities. The maritime and aviation industry is currently responsible for approximately 6% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Due to logistical and economic constraints, these industries are heavily reliant on liquid fuels, making direct electrification options unavailable for large parts of these sectors. As a result, these sectors are considered ‘hard to abate’. Understanding the future climate mitigation challenges associated with the maritime and aviation sectors is crucial in shaping effective policy measures, avoiding stranded assets, and preserving the chance to meet Paris Agreement-compatible emission reduction pathways.
This thesis identifies three main challenges and proposes modelling approaches to address them when modelling decarbonization pathways for the aviation and maritime sectors. From these challenges, research gaps have been identified that this PhD thesis aims to fill. Three models have been developed for the thesis: a maritime optimization model, a maritime demand model, and an aviation demand model. The modelling landscape and methodology vary across models, ranging from econometrics and data science to mathematical optimization.
To overcome the challenges and fill in the research gaps, three corresponding modelling approaches have been successfully applied:
1. Developing a holistic decarbonization modelling landscape. This includes life-cycle representations of technology costs and emissions, the upscaling of bottleneck technologies, the availability of sustainable biomass, and consideration of competing demand from other industries, as well as representations of policy levers such as carbon pricing or improvements to fuel efficiency.
2. Developing demand models that interpret the underlying scenario narrative consistently (SSP framework).
3. Improving the representation of technological learning for low-carbon technologies in energy system models.
The findings acquired by applying these three modelling approaches are valuable for energy modellers, climate scientists, and policymakers and offer unique insights into the inherent system dynamics associated with decarbonization of hard-to-abate sectors. Utilizing this modelling landscape reveals that current decarbonization efforts for hard-to-abate sectors are insufficient.
The maritime industry is a crucial hard-to-abate sector that is expected to depend on high-energy density renewable liquid fuels in the future. Traditionally, decarbonization pathways have been assessed assuming exogenous cost trajectories for renewable liquid fuels based on an exogenous learning curve. While past studies have looked at the impact of endogenizing learning curves for a specific technology utilizing linear approximation, a fully endogenous direct non-linear implementation of learning curves in a detailed sectoral model (maritime industry) that explores dynamics concerning sensitive parameters does not yet exist. Here, we apply an open-source optimization model for decarbonizing the maritime industry and further develop the model by encompassing a nonconvex mixed-integer quadratically constrained programming approach to analyze the impact of endogenized learning curves for renewable fuel costs following an experience curve approach. We find that global greenhouse gas emissions are significantly lower (up to 25% over a 30 year horizon) when utilizing endogenously modeled prices for renewable fuels compared to commonly used exogenous learning frameworks. Furthermore, we find that conventional modeling approaches overestimate the cost of climate mitigation, which can have significant policy implication related to carbon pricing and fuel efficiency requirements. In a broader context, this emphasizes the potential opportunities that can be achieved if policymakers and companies accelerate investments that drive down the costs of renewable technologies efficiently and thus trigger endogenous experience-based learning in real life.
The decarbonisation of shipping has become a high priority on the environmental and political agenda. The prospect of implementing an Emissions Trading System (ETS) for shipping has come to prominence as a proposed mechanism for speeding up the decarbonisation of the industry, with the EU taking proactive action to include shipping within the EU ETS by 2023. This paper analyses and provides a qualitative review of the historical development of the discussions and actions taken at both global level (by the International Maritime Organization (IMO)) and at regional level within the EU. A SWOT analysis of the potential implementation of an ETS for shipping is then presented. The paper concludes that an ETS for shipping can incentivise greater investment in, and deployment of, green technologies that will have the effect of reducing the carbon footprint of the shipping industry. However, the speed and significance of this effect will depend upon the specific shipping market segment and the relative stage in shipping market cycles over time. It is further concluded that despite the imminent unilateral introduction of shipping into the EU ETS, it is important that the IMO continues its work to develop a global ETS that promotes a ‘level playing field’ for competition within the sector and eliminates the risk of carbon leakage.
The “Initial IMO Strategy” was adopted in the 72nd session of the Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC 72) of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) in April 2018. It has set, among other things, ambitious targets to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from ships, and purports to express a strong political will to phase them out as soon as possible. The most ambitious of these targets is to reduce GHG emissions by 2050 at least 50% vis-à-vis 2008 levels, and there is also an intermediate target to reduce CO2 emissions per transport work by 2030 at least 40%, again vis-à-vis 2008 levels. More than three years since the adoption of the Initial IMO Strategy, this chapter takes stock at the status of shipping decarbonisation and attempts to assess prospects for the future. Obstacles towards achieving the IMO targets are identified and discussed.
This scientific study aims to compare the significance of onboard positioning of two different classes of wind propulsion systems for retrofit installations to maximize fuel and emissions savings. The study focuses on comparing the performance a low lift-to-drag ratio wind propulsion system, the Rotor Sail, and a high lift-to-drag ratio one, the DynaRig, installed at different places on a real 84000 DWT bulk carrier ship to identify the most efficient placement of these two distinct systems to achieve maximum fuel efficiency. The investigation involves a comprehensive analysis of available deck spaces, and performance prediction program modeling is employed to estimate potential fuel savings for a typical route followed by the vessel. The results show that placing the WPS far forward, close to the hydrodynamic centre of lateral resistance, results in overall higher savings. Both WPS classes see a penalty when placed far from the hydrodynamic centre of lateral resistance, reducing their overall savings potential. However, Rotor Sails are more adversely affected due to their enhanced side force generation per unit thrust. Consequently, the placement of Rotor Sails becomes crucial, especially under upwind conditions, while DynaRigs prove more versatile for installations in the aft. This research provides valuable insights into enhancing the ship's energy efficiency and reducing its environmental impact in the maritime industry.
Uncertainties on the global availability and affordability of alternative marine fuels are stalling the shipping sector’s decarbonization course. Several candidate measures are being discussed at the International Maritime Organization, including market-based measures (MBMs) and environmental policies such as carbon taxes and emissions trading systems, as means to decarbonize. Their implementation increases the cost of fossil fuel consumption and provides fiscal incentives to shipping stakeholders to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions reductions. MBMs can bridge the price gap between alternative and conventional fuels and generate revenues for funding the up-scaling of alternative fuels’ production, storage and distribution facilities and, thus, enhance their availability. By estimating the fuels’ implementation and operational costs and carbon abatement potential, this study calculates marginal abatement costs and estimates the level of carbon pricing needed to render investments into alternative fuels cost-effective. The results can assist policymakers in establishing robust and effective maritime decarbonization policies.