Knowledge

Keyword: risk management

report

White Paper: Standpoints for safety risk analysis of the MISSION Just-In-Time arrival system

Igor Kozin

This is an informational document that communicates the account of SDU participants of the MISSION project on how to prove whether the system being developed by the consortium improves the safety of ships in the port areas.

The methods suggested in this document are based on an overview of the state-of-practice guidelines and state-of-the-art methods in safety risk analysis. They are compliant with the Guidelines for Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) and The Ship Inspection Report Programme (SIRE).
Other accounts on the same issues may exist that are either complementary or preferred over the methods described in this paper. This document is intended to make discussions constructive by possibly benchmarking other views with those described here and by working out a clear methodology and guidelines for conducting a safety risk analysis of the system being developed; and for informing decisions on the system’s acceptability or improvements needed to achieve the acceptability.

/ 2025
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paper

A High-order Accurate Spectral Element-based Time-Domain Simulation of a Model-Scale Floating Offshore Wind Turbine

Jens Visbech, Harry B. Bingham, Claes Eskilsson, Johannes Palm & Allan P. Engsig-Karup

This paper describes a new high-order composite numerical model for simulating moored floating offshore bodies. We focus on a floating offshore wind turbine and its static equilibrium and free decay. The composite scheme models linear to weakly nonlinear motions in the time domain by solving the Cummins equations. Mooring forces are acquired from a discontinuous Galerkin finite element solver. Linear hydrodynamic coefficients are computed by solving a pseudo-impulsive radiation problem in three dimensions using a spectral element method. Numerical simulations of a moored model-scale floating offshore wind turbine were performed and compared with experimental measurements for validation, ultimately showing a fair agreement.

International Journal of Offshore and Polar Engineering / 2024
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paper

Numerical analysis of methane slip source distribution in a four-stroke dual-fuel marine engine

Jensen, Michael Vincent; Cordtz, Rasmus Faurskov; Schramm, Jesper

We present the results of a numerical model which has been developed for estimating the contribution to the methane slip from different sources in a four-stroke dual-fuel marine engine running on natural gas. The model is a thermodynamic three-zone zero-dimensional full engine cycle model and considers methane slip contributions from short-circuiting, crevices and wall quenching. The model is applied to analyze the methane slip from a four-stroke dual-fuel medium speed marine engine using natural gas as primary fuel. At low loads, wall quenching is found to be the dominant contribution to the methane slip. At full load, the wall quenching contribution is comparable to the level of the short-circuiting and crevice contributions which only vary relatively little with load. At 75% load, the contribution from short-circuiting is highest. In addition, we found that in-cylinder post-oxidation of unburned fuel remaining after the main combustion is negligible.

Journal of Marine Science and Technology, volume 26 / 2020
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paper

Influence of bending stiffness on snap loads in marine cables: a study using a high-order discontinuous Galerkin method

Johannes Palm & Claes Eskilsson

Marine cables are primarily designed to support axial loads. The effect of bending stiffness on the cable response is therefore often neglected in numerical analysis. However, in low-tension applications such as umbilical modeling of ROVs or during slack events, the bending forces may affect the slack regime dynamics of the cable. In this paper, we present the implementation of bending stiffness as a rotation-free, nested local Discontinuous Galerkin (DG) method into an existing Lax–Friedrichs-type solver for cable dynamics based on an hp-adaptive DG method. Numerical verification shows exponential convergence of order P and P + 1 for odd and even polynomial orders, respectively. Validation of a swinging cable shows good comparison with experimental data, and the importance of bending stiffness is demonstrated. Snap load events in a deep water tether are compared with field-test data. The bending forces affect the low-tension response for shorter lengths of tether (200–500 m), which results in an increasing snap load magnitude for increasing bending stiffness. It is shown that the nested LDG method works well for computing bending effects in marine cables.

Journal of Marine Science and Engineering / 2020
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book

Designing for Emergent Safety in Engineering Systems

John Robert Taylor, Igor Kozin*

This chapter is about emergent safety hazards in engineering systems. These
hazards are those that emerge from a system without arising from any part of the
system alone, but because of interactions between parts. We distinguish two
approaches to analysing engineering systems: one is to view them as sociotechnical, and the other is to consider them as cyber-physical systems. We
illustrate a great deal of emergent hazardous behaviours and phenomena due to
unknown accident physics, malign actions, chemistry, and biology and due to
deficiencies in managements and organisations. The method that follows the
socio-technical view consists in the representation of a system by sequential
functionally unrelated processes that can in reality influence the performance of each other via sneak paths. The method that follows the cyber-physical systems
view focuses on the analysis of control loops (feedback, feedforward, positive,
and negative) and, especially, interrelated loops. The chapter explores also the
realm of security threats due to malign actions that can trigger safety-threatening events. And finally it gives general guidance for avoiding and eliminating safety hazards when designing engineering systems.

Handbook of Engineering Systems Design / 2022
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paper

Risk Mitigation by Design of Autonomous Maritime Automation Systems

Kjeld Dittmann, Mogens Blanke

Autonomous marine surface vehicles rely on computer systems with computer intelligence making decisions to assist or replace the navigating officer. A fundamental requirement for the design and implementation of such a cyber-physical system is seamless, predictable, and secure interoperability between vendor-specific hardware and software subsystems. The article describes a system design that includes mechanisms to mitigate the risks and consequences of software defects, individual component malfunction, and harmful cyber interference. It addresses international regulations in the field and demonstrates a system design that can meet the requirements for safe behaviour in foreseeable events while also having the ability to call for human assistance if the autonomous system is unable to handle a situation. The paper presents a design for highly automated vessels with several inherent risk-reducing features, including the ability to isolate and encapsulate abnormal behaviours, built-in features to support resilience to unexpected events, and mechanisms for internal defence against cyber-attacks. The article shows how this is provided by a novel middleware that supports risk mitigation, dependability, and resilience.

Automatisierungstechnik / 2022
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paper

Autonomy for Ships: A Sovereign Agents Architecture for Reliability and Safety by Design

Kjeld Dittmann, Nicholas Hansen, Dimitrios Papageorgiou, Mogens Blanke

Autonomous systems strive to obtain salient features that include computer intelligence for obtaining situation awareness, decision support to a human navigator, or for facilitating autonomous decision-making in unmanned vehicles. This paper considers the case of autonomous marine surface vehicles, where high-quality decision support will be instrumental for obtaining a periodically unattended bridge and for approval of unmanned bridge operation with fallback through remote operation. The proposed design focuses on a sovereign-based architecture that facilitates safety, resilience and cyber-security. We address central elements of risk in the development and approval of autonomous systems; we analyze the challenges associated with testing, commissioning and maintenance of a highly complex cyber-physical system, and describe design principles for the sovereign agents architecture.

Proceedings of 5th International Conference on Control and Fault-Tolerant Systems / 2021
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paper

Autonomous Surface Vessel with Remote Human on the Loop: System Design for STCW Compliance

Kjeld Dittmann, Nicholas Hansen, Dimitrios Papageorgiou, Signe Jensen, Marie Lützen, Mogens Blanke

Autonomous surface vessels comprise complex automated systems with advanced onboard sensors. These help establish situation awareness and perform many of the complex tasks required for safe navigation. However, situations occur that require assistance by a human proxy. If not physically present on board, information digestion and sharing between human and machine become crucial to maintain safe operation. This paper addresses the co-design of on-board systems and a Remote Control Centre (RCC). Using the international regulations on watch-keeping (STCW) as a basis, the paper discuss how an autonomous system is designed to meet the STCW requirements. It is discussed how the autonomous system is made aware of the state of the vessel, its surroundings, on-board defects or navigational challenges and shared with the RCC in a collaborating system perspective.

13th IFAC Conference on Control Applications in Marine Systems, Robotics, and Vehicles - Online event / 2021
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paper

Analysis of structural crashworthiness of double-hull ships in collision and grounding

Liu, Bin; Villavicencio, Richard; Pedersen, Preben Terndrup; Guedes Soares, C.

A conceptual design framework for collision and grounding analysis is proposed to evaluate the crashworthiness of double-hull structures. This work attempts to simplify the input parameters needed for the analysis, which can be considered as a step towards a design-oriented procedure against collision and grounding. Four typical collision and grounding scenarios are considered: (1) side structure struck by a bulbous bow, (2) side structure struck by a straight bow, (3) bottom raking, (4) bottom stranding. The analyses of these scenarios are based on statistical data of striking ship dimensions, velocities, collision angles and locations, as well as seabed shapes and sizes, grounding depth and location. The evaluation of the damage extent considers the 50- and 90-percentile values from the statistics of collision and grounding accidents. The external dynamics and internal mechanics are combined to analyse systematically the ship structural damage and energy absorption under accidental loadings.

Marine Structures, Volume 76 / 2020
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paper

Attenuation Capacity of a Multi-Cylindrical Floating Breakwater

Luca Martinelli, Omar Mohamad, Matteo Volpato, Claes Eskilsson & Manuele Aufiero

Floating breakwaters (FBs) are frequently used to protect marinas, fisheries, or other bodies of water subject to wave attacks of moderate intensity. New forms of FBs are frequently introduced and investigated in the literature as a consequence of technological advancements. In particular, a new possibility is offered by High-Density Polyethylene (HDPE) by extruding pipes of large diameters (e.g., 2.5 m in diameter) and with virtually no limit in length (hundreds of meters). By connecting two or three such pipes in a vertical layout, a novel low-cost floating breakwater with deep draft is devised. This note investigates numerically and experimentally the efficiency of this type of multi-cylindrical FBs in evaluating different geometries and aims at finding design guidelines. Due to the extraordinary length of the breakwater, the investigation is carried out in two dimensions. The 2D numerical model is based on the solution of the rigid body motion in the frequency domain, where the hydrodynamic forces are evaluated (thanks to a linear potential flow model), and the mooring forces do not include dynamic effects nor drag on the lines. The numerical predictions are compared to the results of a 1:10 scale experimental investigation. An atypical shape of the wave transmission (𝑘𝑡) curve is found, with a very low minimum in correspondence with the heave resonance frequency. The results essentially point out the influence of the position of the gravity center, the stiffness, and the mutual distance among cylinders on 𝑘𝑡.

Journal of Marine Science and Engineering / 2024
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