In this paper existing guidelines to predict wave overtopping on rubble mound breakwaters and coastal structures are modified and improved with respect to the influence of the roughness and crest width. Data from recently made model tests and existing data are combined to demonstrate the need for modifying these formulations in EurOtop. A new reduction factor γcw for the crest width is established and is an improvement of the method by Besley. The influence of the roughness of the slope normally also includes an influence of the breaker parameter when it is larger than a certain limit (EurOtop suggest ξm-1.0 > 5). The present study shows that the breaker parameter is not the ideal dimensionless parameter describing the influence of the wave period for breakwaters with steep slopes, as for such structures the front slope has much less influence on the overtopping than the wave steepness. Thus slope angle and wave steepness have been uncoupled to describe the influence of the armor roughness on wave overtopping. The improvement in the overtopping prediction compared to EurOtop is significant, specifically for the new data sets that have data outside the range of the calibration data used for influence of roughness in EurOtop. The proposed improved methods enlarge the range of applicability with respect to crest width and wave steepness.
This paper investigates the influence of a crown wall on wave overtopping on rubble mound breakwaters. Existing data is used to modify the EurOtop overtopping formula updated by Eldrup et al. (2022) to cover the influence of the crown wall. The effect of raising the wall above the armor crest (elevated wall) or lowering the wall below the armor crest (lowered wall) is investigated. A crown wall at the armor crest level is considered as the reference case. By increasing the elevation of either the armor crest or the crown wall, overtopping is reduced and by lowering either of them, overtopping increases. The influence of the crown wall height, elevated or lowered compared to the armor crest, is not considered accurately in the present design guidelines and thus corrections are suggested. For an elevated wall, a modified crest width has been defined, to better describe the presence of the armor crest in front of the wall. For the lowered wall the effective freeboard might be taken as the average of the wall and armor freeboards. The improvement compared to existing methods is significant, especially for breakwaters with a large elevated wall. The proposed modifications to the EurOtop Manual increase the range of applicability with respect to the wall configuration.
The sea ice in the Arctic has shrunk significantly in the last decades. Partly as a result, the transport pattern has changed with more traffic in remote areas. This change may increase the risk of accidents. The critical factors are harsh weather, ice conditions, remoteness and vulnerability. In this paper we look into the risks of accidents in the Atlantic Arctic based on previous ship accidents and the changes in maritime activity. The risk has to be assessed to ensure a proper level of response in emergency situations. As accidents are rare, there are limited statistics available for Arctic marine accidents. Therefore, in this study a mostly qualitative analysis and expert judgement is the basis for the risk assessments. Implications for the emergency preparedness system of the region are discussed. The consequences of incidents depend on the incident type, scale and location,
The sea ice in the Arctic has shrunk significantly in the last decades. The transport pattern has as a result partly changed with more traffic in remote areas. This change may influence on the risk pattern. The critical factors are harsh weather, ice conditions, remoteness and vulnerability of nature. In this paper, we look into the risk of accidents in Atlantic Arctic based on previous ship accidents and the changes in maritime activity. The risk has to be assessed to ensure a proper level of emergency response. The consequences of incidents depend on the incident type, scale and location. As accidents are rare, there are limited statistics available for Arctic maritime accidents. Hence, this study offers a qualitative analysis and an expert-based risk assessment. Implications for the emergency preparedness system of the Arctic region are discussed.
Flood risk assessment approaches have traditionally been dominated by measures of economic damage. However, the importance of understanding the social impacts of flooding are increasingly being acknowledged. Social vulnerability indices have been constructed in various geographical contexts to understand the relative susceptibility of different social groups to flood hazards. However, integrated assessments of social vulnerability, exposure, and hazard information are lacking. Here, we construct a national social vulnerability index (SVI) for Denmark and combine this with direct and indirect social exposure data and coastal flood hazard data to construct a national social flood risk index (SFRI). Results show the spatial distribution of social flood vulnerability and social flood risk in Denmark. Our findings illustrate that including social data in flood risk assessment could significantly change our understanding of flood risk on a national scale. Methodologically, our work introduces a comprehensive flood risk modeling approach that explicitly considers the social impacts of flooding in all model components. The application of this model in Denmark reveals that the social impacts of flooding extend far beyond flooded areas, thus highlighting the importance of explicitly considering direct and indirect social exposure in addition to social vulnerability in flood risk assessment. By introducing a comprehensive, socially specific approach to flood risk assessment that is usable within existing risk management frameworks such as the EU Floods Directive, our work aims to mainstream social wellbeing, resilience, and justice as central considerations in decision making on flood risk management.
This paper deals with uncertainty modelling of wave-vessel transfer functions used to calculate or predict wave-induced responses of a ship in a seaway. Although transfer functions, in theory, can be calculated to exactly reflect the behaviour of the ship when exposed to waves, uncertainty in input variables, notably speed, draft and relative wave heading, often compromises results. In this study, uncertainty modelling is applied to improve theoretically calculated
transfer functions, so they better fit the corresponding experimental, full-scale ones. Based on a vast amount of full-scale measurements data, it is shown that uncertainty modelling can be successfully used to improve accuracy (and reliability) of theoretical transfer functions.
The present numerical study aims to assess the performance of an Eulerian Stochastic Field (ESF) model in simulating spray flames produced by three fuel injectors with different nozzle diameters of 100 µm, 180 µm and 363 µm. A comparison to the measurements shows that although the simulated ignition delay times are consistently overestimated, the relative differences remain below 28%. Furthermore, the change of the averaged pressure rise with respect to the variation of nozzle diameter is captured by the model. The simulated flame lift-off lengths also agree with the measurements, with a maximum relative difference of 13%. The spray flame produced by a larger nozzle diameter has a fuel-richer premixed core region despite the longer lift-of length, indicating that the higher fueling rate used with the larger nozzle diameter is a more dominating factor than the lift-off length is in influencing the air entrainment into the upstream of the spray flames. In addition, the simulated normalised flame lengths are found to decrease when the nozzle diameters increase. These predictions are in good qualitative agreement with the experimental observation. This work proves that the ESF model can serve as an important tool for the simulation of spray flames in marine diesel engines, where fuel injectors with different nozzle diameters are applied for pilot and main injections.
With international rules of navigation, the IMO COLREGS, describing the regulatory behaviours of marine vessels relative to each other, correct interpretation of situations is instrumental to the successful navigation at sea. This becomes even more crucial when temporal unattended bridge or fully unmanned navigation is aimed at. Based on a breakdown of COLREG rules, this paper presents a framework for representation of manoeuvering behaviours, that are expected when all vessels obey the rules. Our analysis is based on discrete-event systems theory and the proposed framework consists of sets of finite automata, segregating situation assessment from decision making. A intermediate supervisory layer coordinates the communication of these automata modules. The framework is tested in simulation environment using a realistic scenario.
A serious ship-bridge collision accident happens about once a year. These accidents cause fatalities and large economic losses due to loss of transportation service and replacement cost of the bridge structure. One of the most recent, widely published, ship-bridge collisions was the collision where the containership Dali in 2024 collided with the Baltimore Key Bridge in the US city of Baltimore. The resulting collapse of the bridge girder caused six fatalities as well as large financial losses. One effect of this event has been that engineers around the world now are being engaged in evaluation of the vulnerability of existing bridges and establishment of rational design criteria for new bridges.
The presentation will outline elements of a rational design procedure for bridge structures against ship collision impacts. A set of risk acceptance criteria will be proposed and a mathematically based procedure for calculation of the probability of ship collision accidents caused by human as well as technical errors will be presented. This first part of the presentation leads to identification of the largest striking ship, “design vessel”, a given bridge element must withstand without structural failure in order for the bridge connection to fulfil the risk acceptance criteria.
The final part of the presentation will be devoted to an analysis of the needed impact capacity for the bridge pylons and piers exposed to ship bow impact loads from design vessels. A procedure will be described for derivation of expressions for ship bow crushing forces, which can be used in design against ship collision impacts. The resulting collision force expressions are verified by comparison with large-scale laboratory experiments and an analysis of a fullscale shipping accident. Finally, the proposed impact force expressions will be compared with existing standards for modelling ship collisions against bridges as published by AASHTO, IABSE and Eurocode.
The paper outlines a rational design procedure for bridge piers and pylons against ship collision impacts. Firstly, a set of risk acceptance criteria are proposed. This is followed by a mathematically based procedure for calculation of the probability of critical ship meeting situations near the bridge, and the probability of ship collision accidents caused by human errors as well as technical errors. This first part of the paper leads to identification of the largest striking ship, “design vessels”, a given bridge pier must withstand without structural failure in order for the bridge connection to fulfil the risk acceptance criteria. The final part of the paper is devoted to an analysis of the needed impact capacity for the bridge pylons and piers exposed to ship bow impact loads from these “design vessels”. For a number of different ship types and different tonnage merchant vessels, load – displacement relations for ship bow collisions against rigid walls are derived. Based on these comprehensive numerical results, a new empirical relation is derived which is suited for design against bow collisions. This expression for maximum bow collision forces is compared with a previously published expression for ice-strengthened ships and with existing standards for assessment of bow crushing forces. It is shown that there is need for an update of these existing standards. For design of piers and pylons against local impact pressure loads, a pressure - area relation for bulbous bow impacts is derived.