Knowledge

Keyword: risk management

paper

Critical Review of the OSPAR Risk Based Approach for Offshore Produced Water Discharges

A. F. Nielsen, A. Baun, S. I. Andersen, L. M. Skjolding*

The management of produced water (PW) discharges from offshore oil and gas installations in the North Atlantic is under the auspices of OSPAR (Oslo/Paris convention for Protection of the Marine Environment of the North-East Atlantic). In 2010, OSPAR introduced the Risk Based Approach (RBA) for PW management. The RBA includes a hazard assessment estimating PW ecotoxicity using two approaches: Whole Effluent Testing (WET) and Substance Based (SB). Set against the framework of the WET and SB approach, this study conducted a literature review on the magnitude and cause of PW ecotoxicity, respectively, and on the challenges of estimating these. A large variability in the reported magnitude of PW WET was found, with (E/L)C50-values ranging from 100% and a median of 11% (n=301). Metals, hydrocarbons, and production chemicals were identified as causing ecotoxicity across literature. However, this review reveals how knowledge gaps on PW composition and high sample- and species-dependency of PW ecotoxicity makes clear identification and generalization difficult. It also highlights how limitations regarding availability and reliability of ecotoxicity data result in large uncertainties in the subsequent risk estimates, which is not adequately reflected in the RBA output (e.g. environmental impact factors). Thus, it is recommended to increase the focus on improving ecotoxicity data quality before further use in the RBA, and that WET should play a more pronounced role in the testing strategy. To increase the reliability of the SB approach, more attention should be given to the actual composition of PW. Bioassay-directed chemical analysis, combining outcomes of WET and SB in toxicity identification evaluations, may hold the key to identifying drivers of ecotoxicity in PW. Finally, an uncertainty appraisal must be an integrated part of all reporting of risk estimates in the RBA, to avoid mitigation actions based on uncertainties rather than reliable ecotoxicity estimations.

Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management / 2023
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paper

Maritime Piracy and the Ambiguous Art of Existential Arbitrage

Adrienne Mannov

This paper explores the ways in which maritime labor, maritime risk, and seafarers’ survival are embedded in the financial logics and practices of the global shipping industry. By employing the notion of “existential arbitrage,” the ethnography moves through the pursuit of global profit to the value of labor as a commodity, human and financial risk, and ultimately the value of human lives, all of which are arbitraged. Arbitrage is a profit strategy that is based on a belief in the equalizing power of the market yet is predicated on and creates difference among commodities in order to create opportunities to generate profit. Existential arbitrage brings anthropological studies of security and conflict and trade and finance together. By taking the interdependence of these subfields seriously and showing how the relationship between them manifests itself in practice, the notion of existential arbitrage uncovers a brutal financial trading strategy that requires and forces the oscillation between notions of valuable life and the valuation of labor commodities in a competitive global market.

Current Anthropolgy / 2023
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Uncertainty, status-based homophily, versatility, repeat exchange and social exchange in the container shipping industry

Agnieszka Urszula Nowinska, Hans-Joachim Schramm

In this paper, we contribute to the literature on uncertainty and the drivers of social exchange. We explore the 2008 financial crisis and hand-collect unique data on more than 2,700 vessel chartering deals closed in the container shipping industry from 2000 to 2011. Our contribution is twofold. We challenge the literature by finding that low and high status players use different collaborative strategies under uncertainty: the high status players are more prone to coopetition and the low status ones reach out to external buyers. We also extend the literature on social exchange and uncertainty and introduce other constructs: strategic versatility and country-level long-term orientation of the suppliers that we study in our model. Our findings are relevant for policy and managerial decision-makers in the industry.

Journal of Business Research / 2021
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paper

Scarce resources or damaged goods? On the legitimacy of laid-off workers following MNC failure

Agnieszka Urszula Nowinska, Kristina Andersen, Mark Lorenzen

We contribute to theorizing global human resource strategy by analyzing the mobility of workers laid off due to the failure of a MNC employer. The job opportunities of laid-off workers are affected by their industry legitimacy. Focusing on scarce specialized workers, we propose that prospective MNC employers share an interest in retaining such workers' legitimacy. However, in the light of organizational failure, they may suffer from cross-border legitimacy loss conditioned by their former employer's MNC structure—specifically, their former organizational units or geographical locations. We present an illustrative case study of traders laid off by a spectacular bankruptcy in the global bunker industry. This inspires a discussion of how MNC top management can manipulate worker legitimacy following an organizational failure. Managerial Summary: Strategic hiring of globally mobile scarce specialized workers is central to global human resource strategy. We analyze what drives the legitimacy and mobility of such workers after being laid off by a bankruptcy of their former employer. We demonstrate that laid off workers experience comparatively high legitimacy loss when they were previously assigned to an MNC organizational unit or geographical location where other workers were suspected of being responsible for failure. This weakens their bargaining position vis-a-vis a prospective employer. We present an illustrative case study of traders laid off by a spectacular bankruptcy in the global bunker oil industry.

Global Strategy Journal / 2023
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paper

Medical evacuations from offshore oil and gas installations – an exploratory scoping review

Andrew Fenn

Background: Medical evacuations (MEDEVACs) from offshore installations are both costly and disruptive. Enhancing worker well-being may help reduce evacuations due to illness or injury, thereby maintaining the smooth operation of offshore activities and lowering financial burdens.

Objectives: This scoping review aims to identify whether illness or injury is the predominant cause of MEDEVACs from offshore oil and gas installations and to determine the most common types of illnesses or injuries involved. Additionally, the review outlines a future research agenda focusing on offshore worker health and well-being.

Materials and methods: A comprehensive structured search was conducted across the Scopus, PubMed, and Web of Science databases, as well as through reference lists and grey

literature. Studies were included if they addressed MEDEVACs from offshore oil and gas installations. Eleven articles met the inclusion criteria.
Results: Articles indicate that non-occupational illnesses are more frequent causes of MEDEVACs than injuries. Among these, chest pain, cardiovascular issues, and dental problems were disproportionately represented. Contractor personnel were more likely to require evacuation than company employees. Additionally, younger workers were more likely to be evacuated due to injuries. Chronic health conditions were more common reasons for MEDEVACs among older workers. The review highlights the significant role of non-communicable diseases in contributing to MEDEVACs, as opposed to occupational exposures.

Conclusions: Investing in preventive health management, targeted research, and workforce education may substantially reduce the prevalence of non-communicable diseases in the offshore environment, lowering MEDEVAC rates, associated costs, and operational disruptions. Further investigation into the underlying causes of ill health among offshore workers is needed to enhance overall workforce well-being.

International Maritime Health / 2025
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Retrofitting Technologies for Eco-Friendly Ship Structures: A Risk Analysis Perspective

Athanasios Kolios*

This paper presents a detailed risk assessment framework tailored for retrofitting ship structures towards eco-friendliness. Addressing a critical gap in current research, it proposes a comprehensive strategy integrating technical, environmental, economic, and regulatory considerations. The framework, grounded in the Failure Mode, Effects, and Criticality Analysis (FMECA) approach, adeptly combines quantitative and qualitative methodologies to assess the feasibility and impact of retrofitting technologies. A case study on ferry electrification, highlighting options like fully electric and hybrid propulsion systems, illustrates the application of this framework. Fully Electric Systems pose challenges such as ensuring ample battery capacity and establishing the requisite charging infrastructure, despite offering significant emission reductions. Hybrid systems present a flexible alternative, balancing electric operation with conventional fuel to reduce emissions without compromising range. This study emphasizes a holistic risk mitigation strategy, aligning advanced technological applications with environmental and economic viability within a strict regulatory context. It advocates for specific risk control measures that refine retrofitting practices, guiding the maritime industry towards a more sustainable future within an evolving technological and regulatory landscape.

Journal of Marine Science and Engineering / 2024
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Analysis of structural crashworthiness of double-hull ships in collision and grounding

Bin Liu*, R. Villavicencio, P. Terndrup Pedersen, C. Guedes Soares

A conceptual design framework for collision and grounding analysis is proposed to evaluate the crashworthiness of double-hull structures. This work attempts to simplify the input parameters needed for the analysis, which can be considered as a step towards a design-oriented procedure against collision and grounding. Four typical collision and grounding scenarios are considered: (1) side structure struck by a bulbous bow, (2) side structure struck by a straight bow, (3) bottom raking, (4) bottom stranding. The analyses of these scenarios are based on statistical data of striking ship dimensions, velocities, collision angles and locations, as well as seabed shapes and sizes, grounding depth and location. The evaluation of the damage extent considers the 50- and 90-percentile values from the statistics of collision and grounding accidents. The external dynamics and internal mechanics are combined to analyse systematically the ship structural damage and energy absorption under accidental loadings.

Marine Structures / 2021
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Fault tolerant position-mooring control for offshore vessels

Blanke, Mogens; Nguyen, Dong Trong

Fault-tolerance is crucial to maintain safety in offshore operations. The objective of this paper is to show how systematic analysis and design of fault-tolerance is conducted for a complex automation system, exemplified by thruster assisted Position-mooring. Using redundancy as required by classification societies' class notations for offshore position controlled vessels, the paper shows how violations of normal behaviour of main components can be detected and isolated. Using a functional service philosophy, diagnosis procedures are auto-generated based on provable correct graph analysis methods. Functional faults that are only detectable, are rendered isolable through an active isolation approach. Once functional faults are isolated, they are handled by fault accommodation techniques to meet overall control objectives specified by class requirements. The paper illustrates the generic methodology by a system to handle faults in mooring lines, sensors or thrusters. Simulations and model basin experiments are carried out to validate the concept for scenarios with single or multiple faults. The results demonstrate that enhanced availability and safety are obtainable with this design approach. While methods are introduced at a tutorial level, the paper is original by providing a total Position-mooring system design that ensures resilience to any single fault and to selected multiple faults.

Ocean Engineering, Volume 148 / 2018
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Cyber-resilience for marine navigation by information fusion and change detection

Dimitrios Dagdilelis*, Mogens Blanke, Rasmus Hjorth Andersen, Roberto Galeazzi

Cyber-resilience is an increasing concern for autonomous navigation of marine vessels. This paper scrutinizes cyber-resilience properties of marine navigation through a prism with three edges: multiple sensor information fusion, diagnosis of not-normal behaviours, and change detection. It proposes a two-stage estimator for diagnosis and mitigation of sensor signals used for coastal navigation. Developing a Likelihood Field approach, the first stage extracts shoreline features from radar and matches them to the electronic navigation chart. The second stage associates buoy and beacon features from the radar with chart information. Using real data logged at sea tests combined with simulated spoofing, the paper verifies the ability to timely diagnose and isolate an attempt to compromise position measurements. A new approach is suggested for high level processing of received data to evaluate their consistency, which is agnostic to the underlying technology of the individual sensory input. A combined generalized likelihood ratio test using both parametric Gaussian modelling and Kernel Density Estimation is suggested and compared with a detector using only either of two. The paper shows how the detection of deviations from nominal behaviour is possible when the navigation sensor is under attack or defects occur.

Ocean Engineering / 2022
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Anticipation of ship behaviours in multi-vessel scenarios

Dimitrios Papageorgiou*, Nicholas Hansen, Kjeld Dittmann, Mogens Blanke

Highly reliable situation awareness is a main driver to enhance safety via autonomous technology in the marine industry. Groundings, ship collisions and collisions with bridges illustrate the need for enhanced safety. Authority for a computer to suggest actions or to take command, would be able to avoid some accidents where human misjudgement was a core reason. Autonomous situation awareness need be conducted with extreme confidence to let a computer algorithm take command. The anticipation of how a situation can develop is by far the most difficult step in situation awareness, and anticipation is the subject of this article. The IMO International Regulations for Preventing Collisions
at Sea (COLREGS), describe the regulatory behaviours of marine vessels relative to each other, and correct interpretation of situations is instrumental to safe navigation. Based on a breakdown of COLREGS rules, this article presents a framework to represent manoeuvring behaviours that are expected when all vessels obey the rules. The article shows how nested finite automata can segregate situation assessment from decision making and provide a testable and repeatable algorithm. The suggested method makes it possible to anticipate own ship and other vessels’ manoeuvring in a multi-vessel scenario. The framework is validated using scenarios from a full-mission simulator.

Ocean Engineering / 2022
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