This paper proposes an economic and resilient operation architecture for a coupled hydrogen-electricity energy system operating at port. The architecture is a multi-objective optimization problem, which includes the energy system optimal economy as the goal orientation and the optimal resilience as the goal orientation. The optimal resilience orientation looks for the best resilience performance of the port through reasonable energy management including (1) reducing the amount of electricity purchased by the port power grid from the external power grid (2) improving the energy level of electric energy storage (3) improving the energy level of hydrogen energy storage. Taking the actual coupled hydrogen-electricity energy system of Ningbo-Zhoushan Port as an example, four typical scenarios were selected according to renewable generation and load characteristics, and a comparative analysis was carried out during the oriented operation. The results show that although the resilience orientation increases the operating cost compared with the economic orientation, the four scenarios reduce the load shedding by 44.84%, 30.26%, 48.49% and 34.37% respectively when the external power grid is disconnected. The impact of changes in resilience-oriented weight coefficients and hydrogen price on system resilience performance was investigated to provide more references for decision makers.
An efficient extreme ship response prediction approach in a given short-term sea state is devised in the paper. The present approach employs an active learning reliability method, named as the active learning Kriging + Markov Chain Monte Carlo (AK-MCMC), to predict the exceedance probability of extreme ship response. Apart from that, the Karhunen-Loève (KL) expansion of stochastic ocean wave is adopted to reduce the number of stochastic variables and to expedite the AK-MCMC computations. Weakly and strongly nonlinear vertical bending moments (VBMs) in a container ship, where the former only accounts for the nonlinearities in the hydrostatic and Froude-Krylov forces, while the latter also accounts for the nonlinearities in the radiation and diffraction forces together with slamming and hydroelastic effects, are studied to demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the present approach. The nonlinear strip theory is used for time domain VBM computations. Validation and comparison against the crude Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) and the First Order Reliability Method (FORM) are made. The present approach demonstrates superior efficiency and accuracy compared to FORM. Moreover, methods for estimating the Mean-out-crossing rate of VBM based on reliability indices derived from the present approach are proposed and are validated against long-time numerical simulations.
The completeness and high predictability of hazardous scenarios by hazard identification methods are issues in risk analyses. A way to the improvement is to carry out both an exhaustive - to the extent possible - post-accident and predictive accident analysis. Currently, Natural Language Processing (NLP) allows quick processing of many accident reports. In combination with graphical tools, it is now even possible to automatically output causal diagrammatic models of accidents and visualize them on a multi-scenario accident diagram. A step forward is the application of NLP to support predictive analysis. Predictive accident analysis focuses on identifying deviations from expected or normal conditions, the subsequent events following these deviations, and their interactions leading to an accident. The expected or normal conditions are typically outlined in specifications and procedures. This paper demonstrates how NLP can assist hazard identification and predictive accident analysis during lifting operations on ships and offshore platforms.
This is an informational document that communicates the account of SDU participants of the MISSION project on how to prove whether the system being developed by the consortium improves the safety of ships in the port areas.
The methods suggested in this document are based on an overview of the state-of-practice guidelines and state-of-the-art methods in safety risk analysis. They are compliant with the Guidelines for Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) and The Ship Inspection Report Programme (SIRE).
Other accounts on the same issues may exist that are either complementary or preferred over the methods described in this paper. This document is intended to make discussions constructive by possibly benchmarking other views with those described here and by working out a clear methodology and guidelines for conducting a safety risk analysis of the system being developed; and for informing decisions on the system’s acceptability or improvements needed to achieve the acceptability.
A serious ship-bridge collision accident happens about once a year. These accidents cause fatalities and large economic losses due to loss of transportation service and replacement cost of the bridge structure. One of the most recent, widely published, ship-bridge collisions was the collision where the containership Dali in 2024 collided with the Baltimore Key Bridge in the US city of Baltimore. The resulting collapse of the bridge girder caused six fatalities as well as large financial losses. One effect of this event has been that engineers around the world now are being engaged in evaluation of the vulnerability of existing bridges and establishment of rational design criteria for new bridges.
The presentation will outline elements of a rational design procedure for bridge structures against ship collision impacts. A set of risk acceptance criteria will be proposed and a mathematically based procedure for calculation of the probability of ship collision accidents caused by human as well as technical errors will be presented. This first part of the presentation leads to identification of the largest striking ship, “design vessel”, a given bridge element must withstand without structural failure in order for the bridge connection to fulfil the risk acceptance criteria.
The final part of the presentation will be devoted to an analysis of the needed impact capacity for the bridge pylons and piers exposed to ship bow impact loads from design vessels. A procedure will be described for derivation of expressions for ship bow crushing forces, which can be used in design against ship collision impacts. The resulting collision force expressions are verified by comparison with large-scale laboratory experiments and an analysis of a fullscale shipping accident. Finally, the proposed impact force expressions will be compared with existing standards for modelling ship collisions against bridges as published by AASHTO, IABSE and Eurocode.
The integration of offshore wind assets with green hydrogen production and storage units can offer a much-needed solution for intermittency and curtailment issues of the offshore energy industry. To gain confidence that such novel integrated assets will be fit for purpose, the present study presents a comprehensive risk assessment followed by an action plan to mitigate the identified risks to help facilitate their technology qualification. The new methodology introduced here involves all the life-cycle phases of an offshore green hydrogen production system. Following, prevailing failure modes, their effects, and their causes are identified through an extensive review of relevant literature. Subsequently, risk prioritization is performed by ranking the criticality scores obtained from a multidisciplinary group of experts to the questionnaire designed to reveal the chosen subsystems' technology readiness, degree of change, concern in manufacturing and operation, and potential consequences regarding occupational health, safety, environment, economic and regulatory.
Background: Medical evacuations (MEDEVACs) from offshore installations are both costly and disruptive. Enhancing worker well-being may help reduce evacuations due to illness or injury, thereby maintaining the smooth operation of offshore activities and lowering financial burdens.
Objectives: This scoping review aims to identify whether illness or injury is the predominant cause of MEDEVACs from offshore oil and gas installations and to determine the most common types of illnesses or injuries involved. Additionally, the review outlines a future research agenda focusing on offshore worker health and well-being.
Materials and methods: A comprehensive structured search was conducted across the Scopus, PubMed, and Web of Science databases, as well as through reference lists and grey
literature. Studies were included if they addressed MEDEVACs from offshore oil and gas installations. Eleven articles met the inclusion criteria.
Results: Articles indicate that non-occupational illnesses are more frequent causes of MEDEVACs than injuries. Among these, chest pain, cardiovascular issues, and dental problems were disproportionately represented. Contractor personnel were more likely to require evacuation than company employees. Additionally, younger workers were more likely to be evacuated due to injuries. Chronic health conditions were more common reasons for MEDEVACs among older workers. The review highlights the significant role of non-communicable diseases in contributing to MEDEVACs, as opposed to occupational exposures.
Conclusions: Investing in preventive health management, targeted research, and workforce education may substantially reduce the prevalence of non-communicable diseases in the offshore environment, lowering MEDEVAC rates, associated costs, and operational disruptions. Further investigation into the underlying causes of ill health among offshore workers is needed to enhance overall workforce well-being.
This paper describes a new high-order composite numerical model for simulating moored floating offshore bodies. We focus on a floating offshore wind turbine and its static equilibrium and free decay. The composite scheme models linear to weakly nonlinear motions in the time domain by solving the Cummins equations. Mooring forces are acquired from a discontinuous Galerkin finite element solver. Linear hydrodynamic coefficients are computed by solving a pseudo-impulsive radiation problem in three dimensions using a spectral element method. Numerical simulations of a moored model-scale floating offshore wind turbine were performed and compared with experimental measurements for validation, ultimately showing a fair agreement.
Flood risk assessment approaches have traditionally been dominated by measures of economic damage. However, the importance of understanding the social impacts of flooding are increasingly being acknowledged. Social vulnerability indices have been constructed in various geographical contexts to understand the relative susceptibility of different social groups to flood hazards. However, integrated assessments of social vulnerability, exposure, and hazard information are lacking. Here, we construct a national social vulnerability index (SVI) for Denmark and combine this with direct and indirect social exposure data and coastal flood hazard data to construct a national social flood risk index (SFRI). Results show the spatial distribution of social flood vulnerability and social flood risk in Denmark. Our findings illustrate that including social data in flood risk assessment could significantly change our understanding of flood risk on a national scale. Methodologically, our work introduces a comprehensive flood risk modeling approach that explicitly considers the social impacts of flooding in all model components. The application of this model in Denmark reveals that the social impacts of flooding extend far beyond flooded areas, thus highlighting the importance of explicitly considering direct and indirect social exposure in addition to social vulnerability in flood risk assessment. By introducing a comprehensive, socially specific approach to flood risk assessment that is usable within existing risk management frameworks such as the EU Floods Directive, our work aims to mainstream social wellbeing, resilience, and justice as central considerations in decision making on flood risk management.
The introduction of Marine Non-Indigenous Species (NIS) poses a significant threat to global marine biodiversity and ecosystems. To mitigate this risk, the Ballast Water Management Convention (BWMC) was adopted by the UN International Maritime Organisation (IMO), setting strict criteria for discharges of ballast water. However, the BWMC permits exemptions for shipping routes operating within a geographical area, known as a Same-Risk-Area (SRA). An SRA can be established in areas where a risk assessment (RA) can conclude that the spread of NIS via ballast water is low relative to the predicted natural dispersal. Despite the BWMC's requirement for RAs to be based on modelling of the natural dispersal of NIS, no standard procedures have been established. This paper presents a methodology utilizing biophysical modelling and marine connectivity analyses to conduct SRA RA and delineation. Focusing on the Kattegat and Øresund connecting the North Sea and Baltic Sea, we examine two SRA candidates spanning Danish and Swedish waters. We provide an example on how to conduct an RA including an RA summary, and addressing findings, challenges, and prospects. Our study aims to advance the development and adoption of consistent, transparent, and scientifically robust SRA assessments for effective ballast water management.