Knowledge

This report presents the AEGIS roadmap for automated waterborne transport and is the result of the work related to Task 2.5 Roadmap for waterborne logistics redesign as defined in the AEGIS Grant Agreement. The task was to collect the results of the AEGIS work package 2 and 6, and the AEGIS use cases, to provide a publicly available roadmap for the redesign of more sustainable waterborne transport. Furthermore, the main AEGIS solutions that can be used to realize the redesign were to be identified, and benefits and possible costs were to be described, exemplified by future transport systems, including intercontinental transport. Furthermore, the focus was to be on unitized cargo (ie, containers and ro-ro trailers).

The report is based on the AEGIS use cases and outlines one logistics redesign for short sea shipping where the cargo is containers, and one for inland waterways shipping where the cargo is roro trailers. Intercontinental transport was not studied in detail within the AEGIS project, as it was not in scope. This means that no study investigating the applicability of AEGIS solutions for intercontinental transport has been done, and thus the background for creating a roadmap for intercontinental transport is missing. Instead, intercontinental transport is briefly discussed in a separate section of the report. Furthermore, even though the AEGIS solutions do not target the deep sea leg of intercontinental transport, they are highly applicable to the distribution and consolidation of cargo in the hinterland. For this part of intercontinental transport, the short sea and inland transport roadmaps are directly applicable.

For each of the two segments short sea and inland waterways, the bassline "as-is" scenarios are discussed to provide insight into current challenges and areas with potential for improvements. Then a redesign is introduced, where the AEGIS innovations and concepts are used to gain efficiency benefits and zero emission transport systems. As part of the redesign discussion, the gaps towards realization are also discussed and identified. These are related to immature technology, certain issues that are currently not addressed and need both research and development, and issues related to uptake and investment risk. Next, one roadmap for short sea shipping and one for inland waterways is presented, and discussed in terms of short term, medium term and long term phases and what advancements need to be made (ie, what gaps need to be closed) within each of these periods. Finally, policy support and actions are discussed in terms of what will be required to realize the roadmaps.

The two roadmaps presented in this report include discussions for the short-, medium- and long-term periods. The roadmaps are structured this way to facilitate a discussion around which aspects are mature, and which require more research and has a longer expected horizon to market. The roadmaps are written with the purpose of allowing the implementation of the new transport systems in the short, medium and long term, and a discussion is made around the sustainability of the transport system at each maturity level.

The “Initial IMO Strategy” was adopted in the 72nd session of the Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC 72) of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) in April 2018. It has set, among other things, ambitious targets to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from ships, and purports to express a strong political will to phase them out as soon as possible. The most ambitious of these targets is to reduce GHG emissions by 2050 at least 50% vis-à-vis 2008 levels, and there is also an intermediate target to reduce CO2 emissions per transport work by 2030 at least 40%, again vis-à-vis 2008 levels. More than three years since the adoption of the Initial IMO Strategy, this chapter takes stock at the status of shipping decarbonisation and attempts to assess prospects for the future. Obstacles towards achieving the IMO targets are identified and discussed.

The purpose of this short paper is to provide a brief and non‐encyclopedic commentary on the decisions made at IMO MEPC 76 (June 2021) and assess the prospects for the future of shipping decarbonization in the aftermath of that meeting. The recent action of the European Commission to include shipping into the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) is also discussed.

The purpose of this paper is to assess the status and prospects of the decarbonization of maritime transport. Already more than two years have passed since the landmark decision of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) in April 2018, which entailed ambitious targets to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from ships. The paper attempts to address the following three questions: (a) where do we stand with respect to GHG emissions from ships, (b) how is the Initial IMO Strategy progressing, and (c) what should be done to move ahead? To that effect, our methodology includes commenting on some of the key issues addressed by the recently released 4th IMO GHG study, assessing progress at the IMO since 2018, and finally identifying other issues that we consider relevant and important as regards maritime GHG emissions, such as for instance the role of the European Green Deal and how this may interact with the IMO process. Even though the approach of the paper is to a significant extent qualitative, some key quantitative and modelling aspects are considered as well. On the basis of our analysis, our main conjecture is that there is not yet light at the end of the tunnel with respect to decarbonizing maritime transport.

The “Initial IMO Strategy” was adopted in the 72nd session of the Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC 72) of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) in April 2018. It has set, among other things, ambitious targets to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from ships, and purports to express a strong political will to phase them out as soon as possible. The most ambitious of these targets is to reduce GHG emissions by 2050 at least 50% vis-à-vis 2008 levels, and there is also an intermediate target to reduce CO2 emissions per transport work by 2030 at least 40%, again vis-à-vis 2008 levels (IMO, 2018). In the period after MEPC 72, the focus of the IMO discussion has been on the formulation and eventual adoption of the short-term measures, that is, measures that are to be agreed upon and implemented by 2023. In fact, MEPC 76, held in June 2021, and after a rather difficult discussion, adopted such a short-term measure. MEPC 77 (November 2021) saw the initiation of the discussion on mid-term and long-term measures, which include, among others, market based measures (MBMs) and alternative fuels. The discussion continued at MEPC 78 (June 2022) and is expected to continue at future meetings of MEPC.

The purpose of this paper is to provide an overview and discussion of potential Market Based Measures (MBMs) under the Initial IMO Strategy for the reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from ships. In this context, some related developments are also seen as directly relevant, mainly in the context of the possible inclusion of shipping into the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS). A comparative evaluation of maritime MBMs is made using the following criteria: GHG reduction effectiveness, compatibility with existing legal framework, potential implementation timeline, potential impacts on States, administrative burden, practical feasibility, avoidance of split incentives between ship-owner and charterer, and commercial impacts. The paper breaks down potential MBMs into the following classes: Bunker levy/carbon levy MBMs, ETS (global and/or EU ETS) MBMs and other MBM proposals.

In this video, Professor Harilaos Psaraftis (DTU Technical University of Denmark) will outline the main decarbonization challenges.

The International Maritime Organization (IMO) adopted the so-called Initial IMO Strategy in 2018, stipulating that greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from international shipping need to be reduced by at least 50% by 2050, and CO2 emissions per transport work are to be reduced by at least 40% by the year 2030, both compared to the 2008 levels.

At the same time, there is an elephant in the room: It is the intent of the European Commission and the European Parliament to include shipping into the EU ETS. How the elephant will be handled is not clear. In this talk we will outline the main decarbonization challenges through a focus on a RoPax case study.
The session was developed in collaboration with MARLOG.

Offshore grids can play key roles in the transition of energy systems toward sustainability. Although they require extensive infrastructure investments, they allow for the exploitation of additional resources and may be important in providing for part of the increasing electricity demands driven by sector coupling. This paper quantifies the socioeconomic value of offshore grids and identifies their major drivers, performing energy system optimization in a model application of the northern–central European energy system and the North Sea offshore grid towards 2050. The increasing wake loss with the sizes of hub-connected wind farms is integrated in the modeling. We find that without sector coupling no offshore grid may develop, and that the higher the level of sector coupling, the higher the value of offshore grids. Therefore, it can be strongly stated that offshore grid infrastructure development should not be discussed as a separate political topic, but seen in connection to sector coupling.

Global warming and, correspondingly, reducing CO2 emissions is one of the most challenging tasks the world faces today. The maritime industry contributed to 2.89% of the global anthropogenic CO2 emissions. To decrease this share, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) defined, among others, the goal to reduce the carbon intensity of international shipping by 40% until 2030. In this context, the short-term measures recently adopted, in the form of a technical standard (Energy Efficiency Existing Ship Index, EEXI) and a rating scheme based on an operational indicator (Carbon Intensity Indicator, CII), mark a crucial step to achieving the mentioned goal. In addition, the EU Commission has recently introduced the FuelEU Maritime Initiative limiting the annual greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity of a ship’s energy use incorporating a reduction occurring in a five-year rhythm between 2025 and 2050. The paper investigates the practical options availed to existing containerships of different sizes and technological vintages for meeting the specific EEXI, CII, and GHG intensity reduction requirements imposed by the regulations. The investigation will be based on the actual technical and operational profiles of six sample ships and will consider a set of possible compliance options including, but not limited to, engine power limitation, waste heat recovery system, variable frequency drives, and virtual arrival. The data used originates from noon reports of existing containerships provided by a European industry leader. The ship-specific CO2 emission reduction potentials required for the impact assessment result from either literature or actual data-based calculations. Financial data is used for investigating the economic impact of the reduction requirements. Conclusions drawn include an operational advantage that pre-EEDI ships enjoy when applying engine power limitation (EPL) for EEXI compliance, the occurrence of payback periods exceeding ship lifetimes, and an estimate of the effect that onshore power supply can have on complying with the FuelEU Maritime Initiative.

Driven by regulatory mandates, International Maritime Organization (IMO) decarbonization targets, market pressure, and evolving societal expectations, the maritime industry is undergoing a fundamental transition towards full decarbonization. This shift has renewed interest in Wind Propulsion Systems (WPSs) as viable propulsion alternatives, reflected in their increasing adoption. However, widespread implementation remains challenging. Each WPS installation design excels under specific conditions, which makes selecting the most cost-effective WPS installation complex. Failure to optimize design and placement can lead to suboptimal fuel savings or unprofitable deployments, limiting industry confidence, and slowing adoption.

To address these challenges, this PhD Thesis presents a novel modelling framework to optimize WPS installation designs by evaluating their cost-benefit trade-offs. The framework identifies the optimal WPS class, design, positioning, and arrangement to maximize fuel savings and emission reductions while minimizing investment costs, tailored to an operator’s specific profile. The study addresses three main objectives: (1) determining the most cost-effective WPS installation design, (2) enhancing industry understanding of WPS performance, and (3) supporting informed decision-making for shipowners and operators.

The results demonstrate that there is no on-size-fits-all WPS solution; instead, each optimal configuration requires a use-case-specific evaluation, accounting for factors such as ship type, route, wind conditions, emissions reduction targets, and operational constraints. However, general trends emerge. Higher emissions reduction ambitions – requiring larger WPS installations — favor high lift-to-drag ratio and lightweight technologies for costeffectiveness. In contrast, low lift-to-drag ratio systems are more sensitive to deck placement and wind conditions due to the resulting hydrodynamic penalties to counteract aerodynamic
forces, though these effects become less significant for lower emissions reduction targets. Installation viability is further constrained by factors such as maximum air draft and cargo space loss due to weight penalties, which may significantly impact economic feasibility.

Optimization of WPS installation design is found to be critical for maximizing economic returns and ensuring fair comparisons across different WPS classes, as each class has unique performance characteristics. The most cost-effective configurations generally involve max imizing unit spacing to reduce aerodynamic interactions and placing units near the hydrodynamic center of lateral resistance to minimize added resistance penalties. Suboptimal designs can extend payback periods by over 150% compared to optimized configurations. Additionally, while WPS-equipped vessels require higher upfront investment, they demonstrate rapid payback periods and strong profitability, particularly in favorable operational and economic conditions.

A critical threshold of limited return on investment is identified for retrofit installations, occurring when additional WPS units no longer yield increased fuel and emissions savings. This is due to hydrodynamic penalties required to maintain yaw moment balance, ultimately offsetting the WPS benefits. This also underscores the need for an optimized deployment strategy to maximize savings while minimizing investment costs, preventing unprofitable installations that could foster skepticism and hinder adoption.

The methods and findings presented in this PhD Thesis provide a foundation for unlocking the full potential of wind propulsion systems, supporting a more sustainable, cost-effective, and decarbonized shipping industry.