Ship designers face increasing pressure to comply with global emission reduction ambitions. Alternative fuels, potentially derived from bio-feedstock or renewable electricity, provide promising solutions to this problem. The main challenge is to identify a suitable ship power system, given not only uncertain emission requirements but also uncertain fuel and carbon emission prices. We develop a two-stage stochastic optimization model that explicitly considers uncertain fuel and carbon emission prices, as well as potential retrofits along the lifetime. The bi-objective setup of the model shows how the choice of optimal power system changes with reduced emission levels. Methanol and LNG configurations appear to be relatively robust initial choices due to their ability to run on fuel derived from different feedstocks, and their better retrofittability towards ammonia or hydrogen. From a policy perspective, our model provides insight into the effect of the different types of carbon pricing mechanisms on a shipowner's decisions.
In a premixed dual-fuel (DF) methane-diesel engine, the ignition of the lean premixed methane/air mixture starts with the assistance of a pilot diesel injection. Auto-ignition of pilot fuel is important as it triggers the subsequent combustion processes. A delay in the auto-ignition process may lead to misfiring, incomplete combustion, and thus higher greenhouse emissions due to methane slip. Hence, a better understanding of the auto-ignition process for the pilot fuel can help to improve the overall engine performance, combustion efficiency, and to lower exhaust emission levels. In the present study, large eddy simulation (LES) is used to investigate the auto-ignition process of micro-pilot diesel in premixed DF combustion in a constant volume combustion chamber (CVCC). The entire DF combustion processes including methane gas injection, methane/air mixing, pilot diesel injection, and ignition are simulated. The numerical model is validated against experimental data. The present numerical model is able to capture the ignition delay time (IDT) within a maximum relative difference of 7% to the measurements. A higher relative difference of 38% is obtained when methane gas injection and mixing are omitted in the simulation and the methane/air is assumed homogeneous. This demonstrates the importance of inhomogeneity pockets. To study the effects of temperature and methane inhomogeneities separately, different idealized inhomogeneities in temperature and methane distribution are considered inside the CVCC. The inhomogeneity in the temperature is observed to have a more profound influence on the IDT than the methane inhomogeneity. The inhomogeneity pockets of temperature advance the first-stage ignition and, subsequently, the second-stage ignition. A sensitivity analysis on the effect of inhomogeneity wavelength reveals that the larger wavelengths enhance the combustion due to the presence of pilot diesel jets in the desirable regions for a longer time duration.
The paper presents a comprehensive review of the current status of integrated high temperature proton exchange membrane fuel cell (HT-PEMFC) and methanol steam reformer (MSR) systems. It highlights the advantages and limitations of the technology and outlines key areas for future improvement. A thorough discussion of novel reformer designs and optimizations aimed at improving the performance of the reformer, as well as different integrated MSR-HT-PEMFC system configurations are provided. The control strategies of the system operation and system diagnosis are also addressed, offering a complete picture of the integrated system design. The review revealed that several processes and components of the system should be improved to facilitate large-scale implementation of the MSR-HT-PEMFC systems. The lengthy system startup is one area that requires improvements. A structural design that is more compact without sacrificing performance is also required, which could possibly be achieved by recovering water from the fuel cell to fulfill MSR's water needs and consequently shrink the fuel tank. Reformer design should account for both heat transfer optimizations and reduced pressure drop to enhance the system's performance. Finally, research must concentrate on membrane materials for HT-PEMFC that can operate in the 200–300 °C temperature range and catalyst materials for more efficient MSR process at lower temperature should be investigated to improve the heat integration and overall system efficiency.
The European Commission recently proposed requirements for the production of renewable fuels as these are required to decarbonize the hard-to-electrify parts of the industrial and heavy transport sectors. Power-to-X (P2X) energy hubs enable efficient synergies between energy infrastructures, production facilities, and storage options. In this study, we explore the optimal operation of an energy hub by leveraging the flexibility of P2X, including hydrogen, methanol, and ammonia synthesizers by analyzing potential revenue streams such as the day-ahead and ancillary services markets. We propose EnerHub2X, a mixed-integer linear program that maximizes the hub’s profit based on current market prices, considering the technical constraints of P2X, such as unit commitment and non-linear efficiencies. We investigate a representative Danish energy hub and find that without price incentives, it mainly sells renewable electricity and produces compressed hydrogen. A sufficient amount of renewable ammonia and methanol is only produced by adding a price premium of about 50% (0.16 €/kg) to the conventional fuel prices. To utilize production efficiently, on-site renewable energy sources and P2X must be carefully aligned. We show that renewable power purchase agreements can provide flexibility while complying with the rules set by the European Commission.
This paper studies the design of a mid-scale maritime supply chain for distribution of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from overseas sourcing locations, via a storage located at the coast, before transporting the LNG on land to industrial customers. The case company has signed contracts with a number of initial customers and expect that there will be more customers and increased demand in the years to come. However, it is currently uncertain whether and when new contracts will be signed. To capture this uncertainty with regard to which and how many future customers there will be, which directly affects the demand, we propose a multi-stage stochastic programming model, which maximizes the expected profits of the supply chain. The model aims at aiding decisions concerning the import of LNG, investments in floating storage units and customer distribution systems, and it has been applied on a real case study for distributing LNG to customers in a Brazilian state. It is shown that explicitly considering uncertainty in the modeling of this problem is very important, with a Value of Stochastic Solution of 13.2%, and that there are significant economies of scale in this supply chain. Most importantly, the multi-stage stochastic programming model and the analysis presented in this paper provided valuable decision support and managerial insights for the case company in its process of setting up the LNG supply chain.
Methanol, as one of the significant green fuel candidates for the combustion engines, can be produced from Power to X and biomass production. However, compression ignition (CI) of pure methanol in a combustion engine is impractical due to its low cetane rating. The strategy has gained little attention in the past, but is possible if the methanol is premixed with a fuel additive (ignition improver). In order to optimize and understand additivated methanol combustion, a phenomenological spray/packet combustion model is developed in this work. The model is used to calibrate an Arrhenius-type ignition delay equation for CI engine using additivated methanol, and the resulting calibrated ignition delay parameter is 2.14. The procedure involves to compare the modeled and experimental combustion rate profiles that are derived from a small marine CI engine by burning methanol with 3.5 % and up to 7.5 % kg/kg fuel additive. The present work finds that the phenomenological diesel combustion model methodology can be used with good accuracy, to simulate combustion rate profiles of additivated methanol in a CI engine. The model is, furthermore, able to indicate intermediate variables such as burning packet speeds, air mass, droplet mass, air/fuel equivalence ratio, and burning packet temperature for different packets of combustion.
The purpose of this paper is to revisit speed optimization and speed reduction models for liner shipping in a multi/flexible fuel context with regards to the current ongoing speed limit debate at the International Maritime Organization (IMO). The focus is mainly on analyzing the influence of a maximum average speed limit on the optimal speeds, carbon intensity and emissions in conjunction with fleet deployment for dual fuel (DF) Neopanamax container vessels utilizing liquefied natural gas (LNG).
Global warming and, correspondingly, reducing CO2 emissions is one of the most challenging tasks the world faces today. The maritime industry contributed to 2.89% of the global anthropogenic CO2 emissions. To decrease this share, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) defined, among others, the goal to reduce the carbon intensity of international shipping by 40% until 2030. In this context, the short-term measures recently adopted, in the form of a technical standard (Energy Efficiency Existing Ship Index, EEXI) and a rating scheme based on an operational indicator (Carbon Intensity Indicator, CII), mark a crucial step to achieving the mentioned goal. In addition, the EU Commission has recently introduced the FuelEU Maritime Initiative limiting the annual greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity of a ship’s energy use incorporating a reduction occurring in a five-year rhythm between 2025 and 2050. The paper investigates the practical options availed to existing containerships of different sizes and technological vintages for meeting the specific EEXI, CII, and GHG intensity reduction requirements imposed by the regulations. The investigation will be based on the actual technical and operational profiles of six sample ships and will consider a set of possible compliance options including, but not limited to, engine power limitation, waste heat recovery system, variable frequency drives, and virtual arrival. The data used originates from noon reports of existing containerships provided by a European industry leader. The ship-specific CO2 emission reduction potentials required for the impact assessment result from either literature or actual data-based calculations. Financial data is used for investigating the economic impact of the reduction requirements. Conclusions drawn include an operational advantage that pre-EEDI ships enjoy when applying engine power limitation (EPL) for EEXI compliance, the occurrence of payback periods exceeding ship lifetimes, and an estimate of the effect that onshore power supply can have on complying with the FuelEU Maritime Initiative.
Aarhus University, DCE - Danish Centre for Environment and Energy, has prepared an overall assessment of the potential environmental impacts from a major release or spill of ammonia in relation to production and transportation of ammonia in a PtX plant or by shipping in Greenland. Three sites were included in the assessment: Kangerlussuaq (Sdr. Strømfjord), Kangerlussuatsiaq (Evighedsfjorden) and Nuup Kangerlua (Godthåbsfjorden). The overall findings shows that a large, worst-case ammonia spill could cause severe toxic damage to organisms during the passage of the ammonia cloud from within a few km to possibly more than 10 km from the source. This could lead to local loss of animal and plant abundance for some years. However, the ammonia will be quickly diluted and degraded and will not be transferred in the food web, and the mortality will not seriously impact plant and animal populations at a regional scale. There could be a fertilising effect of ammonia on the nutrient-poor terrestrial environment lasting for some years.
The shipping sector's rising greenhouse gas emissions are often considered “hard-to-abate”. Some ship-owners have recently adopted or started to consider the adoption of alternative fuels, but systematic studies of this are still lacking. We address this gap by studying how ship-owners differ in both actual and intended adoption of alternative fuels. We analyze data from a unique survey with 281 ship-owners in Norway, a major ship-owning country and center for maritime technology development, with descriptive statistics and analysis of variance. We find early adopters among large and established ship-owners in offshore, international cargo and domestic passenger shipping segments, which are often subjected to specific contractual demands for alternative fuel adoption. Laggards were typically small and young ship-owners operating in shipping segments where demands for alternative fuel adoption are weak. Our findings also suggest that firms' business strategy and financial and knowledge resources may have relevance for ship-owner's adoption of alternative fuels. Our study has implications for national and international policymaking, highlighting for example how contracting mechanisms can be an effective tool in incentivizing the adoption of alternative fuels.