Harbour vessel emissions are growing concerns in the maritime industry regarding environmental sustainability. Accurate emissions prediction can stand in monitoring and addressing the issue. This study proposes a machine-learning approach using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for predicting harbour vessel emissions. The approach shows superiority over the bottom-up method introduced by the 4th IMO GHG Study regarding prediction accuracy. Actual emissions data from onboard measurements are used for training ANN models and as references for evaluating the methods. Compared to the bottom-up method, the improvement in error reduction can be up to 30% for predicting nitrogen oxides and 54% for carbon monoxide when only using ship-related factors as input variables. By adding selected meteorological factors in the experiments, the prediction accuracy enhancement can achieve up to 48% for nitrogen oxides and 62% for carbon monoxide. The proposed ANN approach could assist relevant stakeholders in improving emissions prediction and operations optimisation.
Wind Propulsion Systems (WPS) have gained significant attention as a means of decarbonizing shipping. Limitations in available deck space, emissions reduction targets, and regulatory compliance have led to a wide array of potential WPS configurations, each exhibiting distinct aerodynamic performance and requiring unique optimum sail trims for each unit due to complex interactions. This variability challenges existing aerodynamic models and optimization efforts for maximizing fuel savings. To address this, we present a novel methodology that, for the first time in WPS aerodynamic performance prediction, combines Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD), independent sail trim optimization, and Machine Learning (ML) to develop surrogate models — Gaussian Process Regression and Feedforward Neural Networks — that rapidly predict aerodynamic performance with CFD-equivalent accuracy. These surrogates capture aerodynamic interactions across various WPS configurations, including unit number, deck arrangement, independent sail trim, hull characteristics, and wind conditions. While employing established ML techniques, our approach is novel in its resource-efficient generation of a comprehensive aerodynamic database, derived from the first in-depth independent trim optimization of a DynaRig case study. Our approach enables the modeling of complex, non-linear interactions that traditional interpolation methods fail to capture. Results show that the developed surrogate models achieve CFD-level accuracy, with an average error below 1 while significantly reducing computational time. This ML-enhanced framework facilitates extensive, rapid WPS design optimizations, supporting efficient integration into performance prediction programs (PPPs) and maximizing fuel savings and emissions reductions tailored to specific routes and wind conditions.Machine Learning; CFD-Simulations; Aerodynamic Performance; Wind Propulsion Systems; Green Shipping; Independent Sail Trim Optimization.
We present a Spectral Element Fully Nonlinear Potential Flow (FNPF-SEM) model developed for the simulation of wave-body interactions between nonlinear free surface waves and impermeable structures. The solver is accelerated using an iterative p-multigrid algorithm. Two cases are considered: (i) a surface piercing box forced into vertical motion creating radiated waves and (ii) a rectangular box released above its equilibrium resulting in freely decaying heave motion. The FNPF-SEM model is validated by comparing the computed hydrodynamic forces against those obtained by a Navier-Stokes solver. Although not perfect agreement is observed the results are promising, a significant speedup due to the iterative algorithm is however seen.
This paper presents an assessment of three methods used for sea state estimation via the wave buoy analogy, where measured ship responses are processed. The three methods all rely on Machine Learning exclusively but they have different output; Method 1 provides bulk parameters, Method 2 yields a point wave spectrum and the wave direction, while Method 3 gives the directional wave spectrum in non-parametric form. The assessment is made using full-scale data from an in-service container ship in cross-Atlantic service. Training and testing of the methods are made using data from a wave radar, and the three methods perform well. An uncertainty measure, equivalently, a trust level indicator, based on the variation between the post-processed outputs of the methods is proposed, and this facilitates determination of estimates with small errors; without knowing the ground truth.
In this article, we develop a deep neural network model to estimate the wave added resistance. The required data to train the model is generated using strip theory calculations over a wide range of hull geometries and operational conditions. The model is efficient as it only requires the ship’s main particulars: length, beam, draft, block coefficient, and slenderness ratio. In addition, we present an application of this model in a vessel performance framework. This will be used for predicting propulsion power and analyzing the degree of biofouling on ships from the company Ultrabulk2. The study shows that the developed deep neural network model produces reliable results in predicting the added wave resistance coefficient in comparison to strip theory calculations. Also, the developed ship propulsion and biofouling analysis display satisfactory output for monitoring hull performance under actual ship operational conditions.