Maritime piracy incidents present significant threats to maritime security, resulting in material damages and jeopardizing the safety of crews. Despite the scope of the issue, existing research has not adequately explored the diverse risks and theoretical implications involved. To fill that gap, this paper aims to develop a comprehensive framework for analyzing global piracy incidents. The framework assesses risk levels and identifies patterns from spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal dimensions, which facilitates the development of informed anti-piracy policy decisions. Firstly, the paper introduces a novel risk assessment mechanism for piracy incidents and constructs a dataset encompassing 3,716 recorded incidents from 2010 to 2021. Secondly, this study has developed a visualization and analysis framework capable of examining piracy incidents through the identification of clusters, outliers, and hot spots. Thirdly, a number of experiments are conducted on the constructed dataset to scrutinize current spatial-temporal patterns of piracy accidents. In experiments, we analyze the current trends in piracy incidents on temporal, spatial, and spatio-temporal dimensions to provide a detailed examination of piracy incidents. The paper contributes new understandings of piracy distribution and patterns, thereby enhancing the effectiveness of anti-piracy measures.
Port selection is of vital importance for both port operators and shipping lines. In this contribution, an Automatic Identification System (AIS) big data approach is developed. This approach allows identifying container ships using only AIS data without the need for supplementary information from commercial databases. This approach is applied to investigate the port selection statistics of container ships between Shanghai and Ningbo Zhoushan Port, two of the largest ports in the world in terms of calling frequency, to generate practical insights. Results show that: i) the ratios among large ships, medium ships and small ships of these two ports are both approximately 1: 4: 5; ii) these two ports both have an exclusive (i.e., more feeder ports covered in geographical coverage) and intensive (i.e., more feeder ships deployed in shipping service frequency) collection and distribution network mainly consisting of small ships, but that of Shanghai is more intensive; iii) in terms of ultra-large ships over 380 m, Shanghai has accommodated an extra 18.5% compared to that of Ningbo Zhoushan, this indicates Shanghai's attraction for such vessels in global fleet deployment; iv) the feeder network between Shanghai and Ningbo Zhoushan is weak, and their relationship is actually in competition; v) Ningbo Zhoushan could offer more choices for ultra-large container ships (over 380 m), which implies its greater potential in future port competition; vi) when the depth of channels and berths is sufficient, the distance to hinterland and the convenience of a collection and distribution network begin to get more important in port selection. The empirical findings unveil the decision-making of container lines, competition between ports and implications for shipping policy.
Underwater radiated noise (URN) from ship propellers has attracted increasing interest in recent years due to its adverse environmental effects on marine life and their communication channels. The environmental concern to reduce shipping noise and the industrial requirements for faster computational tools are driving factors that promote research in the specialized domain of hydroacoustics. This thesis deals with the development of such a computationally efficient numerical tool, which can be used in the prediction of underwater radiated noise in the early design phase of propellers.
The numerical model is developed with two major objectives – versatility in assessing the relative contributions from the major propeller-noise generating mechanisms, and rapidity in prediction of overall noise behaviour. It uses the Farassat-1A solid-FWH formulation of the Ffowcs-Williams- Hawkings equation by defining equivalent acoustic sources on the propeller blade, sheet cavity and tip vortex cavity surfaces. In particular, the application of the solid-FWH formulation to the tip vortex cavity model is the major novelty in this thesis.
The hydrodynamic flow solution is obtained from a potential flow based solver ESPPRO, which includes analytical models of sheet cavitation and tip vortex cavitation. The hydroacoustic numerical model developed within this thesis, DoLPHiN, is a Python-based code that is primarily designed to accept input from ESPPRO; but during the research, the code has also been adapted to read input from the commercial, finite-volume-based Navier-Stokes solver, STAR-CCM+.
The numerical model implementations are verified through analytical case studies for simple geometrical shapes, such as a pulsating sphere and an oscillating cylindrical cavity. The verification study is further extended for propeller geometries by identifying approximate reference solutions in simplified operating conditions. The numerical tool is validated for industrial application through comparison of its noise prediction with model-scale and full-scale noise measurements. Specific characteristics of the propeller noise spectrum are identified in order to evaluate its noise prediction capabilities. The uncertainty factors involved when validating with experimental measurements are also explored in detail. Furthermore, a design study is presented, which shows potential use of the numerical tool in practical propeller design and optimization applications.
Determining the key characteristics of a ship during the concept and preliminary design phases is a critical and intricate process. In this study, we propose an alternative to traditional empirical methods by introducing a model to estimate the main particulars of diesel-powered Z-Drive harbor tugboats. This prediction is performed to determine the main particulars of tugboats: length, beam, draft, and power concerning the required service speed and bollard pull values, employing Bayesian network and non-linear regression methods. We utilized a dataset comprising 476 samples from 68 distinct diesel-powered Z-Drive harbor tugboat series to construct this model. The case study results demonstrate that the established model accurately predicts the main parameters of a tugboat with the obtained average of mean absolute percentage error values; 6.574% for the Bayesian network and 5.795%, 9.955% for non-linear regression methods. This model, therefore, proves to be a practical and valuable tool for ship designers in determining the main particulars of ships during the concept design stage by reducing revision return possibilities in further stages of ship design.
This paper addresses the connection between added wave resistance and required propulsion power of ships, having focus on the early stage of new ship designs, notably tankers and bulk carriers. The paper investigates how mean added wave resistance affects the required torque of a fixed pitch propeller and thus also the operational conditions of a directly coupled main engine. The interest of the study has its background in the assessment of minimum propulsion power, and the study considers the prescriptive guidelines of the IMO as basis. Specifically, the study focuses on an assessment of the minimum forward speed attainable under consideration of the propeller light running margin and static load limits of engines in the early phase of new ship designs, where details of hull geometry are not available. The study considers three semi-empirical methods for predicting mean added wave resistance. All methods are known to be applied in the industry, emphasising that only methods relying solely on main particulars, together with information about sea state and advance speed, are of interest. The paper contains a case study used to illustrate the importance of the added wave resistance prediction with respect to the loading of the main engine. It is shown that, despite small absolute differences, the consequence in relation to the loading of the propeller and hereby the directly coupled main engine can be relatively large. Furthermore, the study illustrates that the propeller light running margin of a fixed pitch propeller directly coupled to the main engine has crucial influence on the attainable speed during adverse weather conditions.
This paper studies real-time deterministic prediction of wave-induced ship motions using the autocorrelation functions (ACFs) from short-time measurements, namely the instantaneous ACFs. The Prolate Spheroidal Wave Functions (PSWF) are introduced to correct the large lag time errors in the instantaneous sample ACF, together with a modification of the autocorrelation (AC) matrix for ensuring its positive definiteness. The validity of the PSWF-based ACFs is first examined by using the ship motion measurements from model experiment under stationary wave excitations. It is shown that the use of PSWF-based ACFs leads to better prediction accuracy than direct use of sample ACFs. The validation is then extended to ship motion prediction using in-service data from a container ship, and an improvement of the prediction accuracy by PSWF-based ACFs is again found. Finally, the effectiveness of use of the instantaneous ACFs for non-stationary wave-induced responses is highlighted by comparing with the prediction results based on the ACFs from long-time measurements.
This paper presents a new approach to attain estimates of the sea state based on short-time sequences of wave-induced ship responses. The present sea state estimation method aims at reconstructing the incident wave profiles in time domain. In order to identify phase components of the incident waves, the Prolate Spheroidal Wave Functions (PSWF) are employed. The use of PSWF offers an explicit expression of phase components in the measured responses and incident waves, indicating that estimations can be efficiently attained. A method to estimate the relative wave heading angle based on the response measurements and pre-computed transfer functions of the responses is also proposed. The method is tested with numerical simulations and experimental measurements of ship motions, i.e. heave, pitch, and roll, together with vertical bending moment and local pressure in a post-panamax size containership. Validation is made by comparing the reconstructed wave profiles with the incident waves. The accuracy and efficiency of the present approach are promising. At the same time, it is shown that the use of responses, which are more broad-banded in their frequency characteristics, is an effective means to cope with high frequency noise in reconstructed waves.
Closed-form expressions to estimate the energy absorption and damage extent for severe ship collision damages were initially developed in 1999 [1, 2], and further validated with experimental data in 2016 [3]. To gain further confidence for applications within design using the proposed analytical procedure, it is evident that more detailed and comprehensive comparisons and validations with experiments and numerical simulations are necessary. The purpose of the present paper is to use the analytical approach and finite element analyses to study in depth model-scale and full-scale collision tests so that to further quantify key calculation parameters and to verify the capability and accuracy of the proposed analytical method. In total 18 experimental tests and one full-scale collision accident are evaluated. The 18 experimental energy absorption-penetration and collision force-penetration curves, and the associated finite element simulations, are compared with results obtained from the analytical calculations. It can be concluded that the analytical method gives consistently good agreement with all experiments analysed here. Finally, an application of the analytical method is demonstrated by an example where speed restrictions are determined in a port to avoid LNG cargo leakage in an event of an LNG carrier being struck by another ship.
This paper presents a study focused on wave spectrum estimation in practical scenarios where multiple ships operate in the same geographical area, potentially forming a network of wave recorders. A novel methodology is proposed to improve the accuracy and precision of the wave spectrum estimates, by combining sea state estimation methods and techniques for tuning the wave-to-motion transfer functions. The framework of the wave buoy analogy is used to derive estimates for each ship through the use of measured ship motion data and available initial estimates of transfer functions. Simultaneously, the wave-to-motion transfer functions of the individual ship are tuned by utilizing a weighted version of the wave data inferred on board the other ships in the network. The overall architecture of the procedure is modular, in the sense that various approaches may be implemented for obtaining sea state estimates and tuned transfer functions. The methodology is demonstrated through two case studies, one based on simulated vessel responses, and the other using model test data of ship motions in a wave tank. Both case studies consider a network of three ships in long-crested waves equipped with a dynamic positioning system. It is shown that the procedure provides good wave spectrum estimates, and leads to reduced uncertainty in the estimates via tuning of the vessel transfer functions.
Each year maritime accidents occur at sea causing human casualties. Training facilities serve to reduce the risk of human error by allowing maritime teams to train safety procedures in cooperative real-size immersive simulators. However, they are expensive and only few maritime professionals have access to such simulators. Virtual Reality (VR) can provide a digital all-immersive learning environment at a reduced cost allowing for increased access. However, a key ingredient of what makes all-immersive physical simulators effective is that they allow for multiple participants to engage in cooperative social interaction. Social interaction which allows trainees to develop skills and competencies in navigating situational awareness essential for safety training. Social interaction requires social fidelity. Moving from physical simulators into digital simulators based upon VR technology thus challenges us as HCI researchers to figure out how to design social fidelity into immersive training simulators. We explore social fidelity theoretically and technically by combining core conceptual work from CSCW research to the design experimentation of social fidelity for maritime safety training. We argue that designing for social fidelity in VR simulators requires designers to contextualize the VR experience in location, artifacts, and actors structured through dependencies in work allowing trainees to perform situational awareness, coordination, and communication which are all features of social fidelity. Further, we identify the risk of breaking the social fidelity immersion related to the intent and social state of the participants entering the simulation. Finally, we suggest that future designs of social fidelity should consider not only trainees in the design, but also the social relations created by the instructors’ guidance as part of the social fidelity immersion.