The impact of the growing cruise ship industry on air quality levels was investigated at the port of Copenhagen, Denmark. In 2018, 345 cruise ships visited Copenhagen, emitting 291 tons of NOx near the city centre. A spatiotemporal cruise ship emission inventory was developed for 2018 based on port list information, engine data, main and auxiliary engine power functions, and NOx emission factors, and was implemented in the OML-Multi atmospheric dispersion model. Evident plume effects from the cruise ships, which were traced by introducing the concept of likely concentration contribution, were obtained in the modelled and measured concentrations at Langelinie Quay, which is the busiest cruise ship terminal in Copenhagen port. Hourly peak values of NOx well above 200 μg m−3 were obtained at the top of a residential building at Langelinie Quay. The emissions from cruise ships were increasing the annual concentration of NO2 in the port area by up to 31% at ground level, and 86% 50 m above the ground in comparison to the urban background level. No exceedance of the European annual limit value of NO2 was obtained. The short-term impact of cruise ships was more pronounced with local exceedances of the hourly European limit value for NO2. Increasing cruise ship activity in Copenhagen port leads to air quality deterioration on short time scales with implications for human health.
International initiatives have successfully brought down the emissions, and hence also the related negative impacts on environment and human health, from shipping in Emission Control Areas (ECAs). However, the question remains as to whether increased shipping in the future will counteract these emission reductions. The overall goal of this study is to provide an up-to-date view on future ship emissions and provide a holistic view on atmospheric pollutants and their contribution to air quality in the Nordic (and Arctic) area. The first step has been to set up new and detailed scenarios for the potential developments in global shipping emissions, including different regulations and new routes in the Arctic. The scenarios include a Baseline scenario and two additional SOx Emission Control Areas (SE-CAs) and heavy fuel oil (HFO) ban scenarios. All three scenarios are calculated in two variants involving Business-AsUsual (BAU) and High-Growth (HiG) traffic scenarios. Additionally a Polar route scenario is included with new ship traffic routes in the future Arctic with less sea ice. This has been combined with existing Current Legislation scenarios for the land-based emissions (ECLIPSE V5a) and used as input for two Nordic chemistry transport models (DEHM and MATCH). Thereby, the current (2015) and future (2030, 2050) air pollution levels and the contribution from shipping have been simulated for the Nordic and Arctic areas. Population exposure and the number of premature deaths attributable to air pollution in the Nordic area have thereafter been assessed by using the health assessment model EVA (Economic Valuation of Air pollution). It is estimated that within the Nordic region approximately 9900 persons died prematurely due to air pollution in 2015 (corresponding to approximately 37 premature deaths for every 100 000 inhabitants). When including the projected development in both shipping and land-based emissions, this number is estimated to decrease to approximately 7900 in 2050. Shipping alone is associated with about 850 premature deaths during presentday conditions (as a mean over the two models), decreasing to approximately 600 cases in the 2050 BAU scenario. Introducing a HFO ban has the potential to lower the number of cases associated with emissions from shipping to approximately 550 in 2050, while the SECA scenario has a smaller impact. The "worst-case" scenario of no additional regulation of shipping emissions combined with a high growth in the shipping traffic will, on the other hand, lead to a small increase in the relative impact of shipping, and the number of premature deaths related to shipping is in that scenario projected to be around 900 in 2050. This scenario also leads to increased deposition of nitrogen and black carbon in the Arctic, with potential impacts on environment and climate.
Denne artikel beretter om CO2, NOx og PM2,5 emissioner fra skibe i Københavns Havn for perioden 2015-2019 beregnet i projektet ” ” Kortlægning af udviklingen i luftforurening fra krydstogsskibe og andre skibe i danske havne” udført af DCE - Nationalt Center for Miljø og Energi under Aarhus Universitet, for Miljø- og Fødevareministeriet (MFVM). De største kilder i havnen i alle år er krydstogtskibe, fulgt af tankskibes oliepumpning (losning af olieprodukter), passagerskibe, tankskibe, containerskibe og general cargo. Mindre bidrag beregnes for ro-ro cargo og slæbebåde samt uddybningsfartøjer, bulkskibe, forskningsskibe, offshorefartøjer og flydekraner. Pr. skibstype i 2019 beregnes følgende resultater for energiforbrug, CO2, NOx og PM2.5 (procentandele i parentes) for krydstogtskibe (56 %, 57 %, 50 %, 71 %), tankskibes oliepumpning (14 %, 13 %, 18 %, 8 %), passagerskibe (9 %, 9 %, 7 %, 9 %), tankskibe (6 %, 6 %, 8 %, 4 %), containerskibe (5 %, 5 %, 6 %, 3 %), general cargo (5 %, 5 %, 5 %, 2 %), slæbebåde (2 %, 2 %, 1 %, 1 %), ro-ro cargo (1 %, 1 %, 1 %, 0 %) og øvrige skibe (2 %, 2 %, 3 %, 1 %). Øvrige skibe omfatter uddybningsfartøjer, bulkskibe, forskningsskibe, offshorefartøjer og flydekraner.Udviklingen i CO2 emissionerne følger udviklingen i energiforbruget. De totale CO2 emissioner ændrer sig kun lidt i perioden fra 2015 til 2019, men varierer en del fra år til år for de forskellige skibstyper. Fra 2015 til 2019 stiger de samlede CO2 NOx og PM2.5 emissioner med hhv. 7 %, 5 % og 31 %. De totale emissionsstigninger skyldes især 24 % flere anløb med gradvist større krydstogtskibe i perioden, der i højere grad benytter tung olie og scrubberteknologi. Scrubberen, hvis funktion er at rense røggassen for svovl, er mindre effektiv til at begrænse udledningen af PM2.5. For krydstogtskibe beregnes CO2[NOx, PM2.5] e missionsstigninger på 34 %[26 %, 62 %]. For alle andre skibe og olie pumpning falder CO2[NOx, PM2.5] emissionerne med hhv. 13 %[8 %, 8 %]og 17 %[15 %, 16 %].
Due to the harsh weather conditions, severe spatial limitations and extremely high safety requirements, the indoor climate control for offshore oil & gas production platforms is much more challenging than any on-shore situations. For instance, the indoor pressure of man-board quarters should be kept all the way above the ambient pressure according to safety regulations. Meanwhile, the indoor air needs to be regularly changed in order to guarantee the indoor air quality. Both requirements could be possibly achieved by automatically manipulating either the throttle valve located at the terminal of the inlet channel in the considered Heating Ventilation and Air-Condition (HVAC) system, or the pressurization system located inside the inlet channel, or both of them in a coordinated way. A Model-Predictive Control (MPC) solution to control the inlet throttle has been proposed in our previous work. This paper proposes a set of control solutions to regulate the variable speed pressurization fan system such that the energy efficiency of the considered HVAC system can be explicitly considered. A combined feed-forward with a PI-based feedback control solution, and an MPC solution are proposed based on derived simple system models. Some preliminary simulation results show that both control solutions can keep the indoor pressure and the air circulation in a very satisfactory and robust manner, even subject to the presence of severe disturbances.